Heading into last year, Los Angeles Rams running back Kyren Williams was an afterthought. He was the 73rd running back off the board on average and available on waivers for most before rushing for 1,144 yards and 12 touchdowns while catching 32 passes for 206 yards and three more scores. Now, Williams is a top 10 running back when you look at early-season 2024 Fantasy football ADP, but the Rams have had a different leading rusher the last three seasons. Should Williams be high up in the 2024 Fantasy football rankings or are there better options available as you begin your 2024 Fantasy football draft prep?
It's critical to target 2024 Fantasy football sleepers and 2024 Fantasy football breakouts while avoiding 2024 Fantasy football busts. Before setting your 2024 Fantasy football draft strategy, be sure to check out the 2024 Fantasy football rankings and cheat sheets from the proven computer model at SportsLine.
Last year, the model accurately predicted that Buccaneers wide receiver Rachaad White was being dramatically undervalued. White was coming off the board in the seventh round on average in 12-team PPR leagues, but he emerged as Tampa Bay's workhorse running back and provided significantly more value than expected, finishing No. 4 at his position. White rushed for 990 yards and six touchdowns while adding 64 catches for 549 yards and three more scores as a receiver. Anybody who followed the model's advice scored an every week starting running back in the middle rounds.
The same model has a proven track record providing Fantasy football tips, identifying A.J. Brown as a sleeper in 2020 and nailing Jonathan Taylor's monstrous season in 2021. Additionally, it's called past Fantasy football sleepers like Derrick Henry in 2019, Christian McCaffrey and Alvin Kamara in 2018, and Davante Adams in 2017. Anybody who banked on players like those made a run at their league title.
The model is powered by the same people who generated projections for all three major Fantasy sites, and it beat human experts last season when there was a big difference in ranking. The 2024 Fantasy football PPR rankings and 2024 Fantasy football standard projections update multiple times daily, so you're always getting the best Fantasy football advice.
Now, SportsLine has simulated the entire NFL season 10,000 times and released its latest Fantasy football rankings 2024, along with plenty of sleepers, breakouts and busts. Head to SportsLine now to see them.
Top 2024 Fantasy football sleepers
One of the 2024 Fantasy football sleepers the model is predicting: Saints running back Alvin Kamara. The five-time Pro Bowler has piled up 1,820 touches over his first seven NFL seasons, but he's still only 28 and the model sees more value in Kamara than his spot in many 2024 Fantasy football RB rankings would suggest.
Kamara is the 17th running back off the board in 2024 after missing four games due to a suspension in 2023. However, he still had 255 touches in 13 games and finished with 1,160 scrimmage yards and six scores. Kamara's involvement in the passing game makes him practically game script-proof, a big reason why the model ranks him as a top-five option at running back for the upcoming season. See more Fantasy football sleepers 2024 here.
Top 2024 Fantasy football breakouts
The model is also projecting Bears quarterback Caleb Williams as one of its 2024 Fantasy football breakouts. The No. 1 overall pick in the 2024 NFL Draft will begin his season on Sept. 8 at Soldier Field against the Titans and the expectations are high that he'll be able to produce from the outset.
Williams walks into an ideal situation where he's surrounded by offensive weapons, with Chicago adding Keenan Allen, first-round pick Rome Odunze and Pro Bowl running back D'Andre Swift to a group that already includes D.J. Moore and Cole Kmet. The Heisman Trophy winner threw for 10,082 yards and 93 touchdowns while adding 27 rushing touchdowns in his career and the model views him as a top-10 quarterback for 2024. See more Fantasy football breakouts 2024 here.
Top 2024 Fantasy football busts
As for players to avoid, the model lists Dolphins running back Raheem Mostert as one of its 2024 Fantasy football busts. After totaling 19 touchdowns through his first eight NFL seasons, Mostert topped that in 2023 alone by leading the league with 21 scores. He also racked up a career-high 1,187 scrimmage yards, and while the yardage was in line with his previous season, the touchdowns scream outlier. Mostert never had more than 10 scores in any previous season and will enter 2024 as the NFL's oldest starting running back at 32.
Nearly a decade younger is teammate De'Von Achane, the league's most explosive runner with 7.8 yards per carry in 2023. There were six games last year in which both backs were fully healthy, and there was a nearly even split of touches, 93 to 89. The veteran also fumbled four times last year, second-most among running backs. Add in that Miami drafted running back Jaylen Wright, who ranked third in the NCAA with 7.4 yards per carry last year, and the Dolphins won't lean as heavily on Mostert with multiple options at their disposal. See more Fantasy football busts 2024 here
How to find proven 2024 Fantasy football football rankings
SportsLine is also extremely high on a surprising quarterback you aren't even thinking about being taken in the middle rounds of 2024 Fantasy football drafts. This quarterback is listed as a shocking top-10 option ahead of stars like Trevor Lawrence and Aaron Rodgers. You can only see who it is, and the 2023 Fantasy football rankings for every player, at SportsLine.
So which 2024 Fantasy Football sleepers, breakouts and busts should you target and fade, and which QB shocks the NFL with a top-10 performance? Visit SportsLine now to get 2024 Fantasy Football cheat sheets for every single position, all from the model that nailed Deebo Samuel as a bust last year, and find out.
