The Miami Dolphins are coming off one of the most shocking losses in recent years, blowing a 27-13 lead against Tennessee with less than three minutes remaining. Miami will try to bounce back when it hosts the Jets on Sunday during the Week 15 NFL schedule. New York snapped its five-game losing streak with a 30-6 win over Houston last week, keeping its slim playoff hopes alive. Miami is an 8.5-point favorite in the latest Week 15 NFL odds from the SportsLine consensus.

The Dolphins have covered the spread in 11 of their last 16 games and have won seven straight home games against New York. Should you include Miami in your Week 15 NFL parlay picks and NFL bets? Before you make any Week 15 NFL picks or NFL parlays, be sure to see the NFL predictions and betting advice from SportsLine's proven computer model.

The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up well over $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model enters Week 15 of the 2023 NFL season on an incredible 176-129 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season. It is also on a 30-21 roll on top-rated NFL picks since Week 7 of last season. 

The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past six years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94% of CBS Sports Football Pick'em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.

Now, the model has locked in five confident NFL best bets for Week 15. If you successfully parlay its picks, you'd be looking at a massive payout of around 25-1. You can only see the model's Week 15 NFL picks at SportsLine.

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Top Week 15 NFL picks

After simulating every game 10,000 times, the model is high on the Los Angeles Rams (-6.5) to cover against the Washington Commanders. Los Angeles fell short of an upset in a 37-31 overtime loss to Baltimore last week, but it covered the spread as a 7.5-point underdog. Veteran quarterback Matthew Stafford completed 23 of 41 passes for 294 yards and three touchdowns, while running back Kyren Williams rushed for 114 yards on 25 carries.

The Rams have scored at least 31 points in three straight games, covering the spread in all of those contests. Washington is trending in the opposite direction, going winless straight up and against the spread in its last three games. Commanders quarterback Sam Howell has thrown one touchdown and five interceptions during that stretch, one reason why the Rams are covering in almost 60% of the model's simulations. See which other NFL parlay picks to make here.

How to make Week 15 NFL parlays

The model also jumped on four other NFL matchups where it says the line is way off, including two underdogs that cover with plenty of room to spare. You can only see the model's NFL Week 15 best bets and parlay at SportsLine

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What are the model's top Week 15 NFL picks? And which other NFL matchups should you target for a strong 25-1 payout? Visit SportsLine now to see the Week 15 NFL best bets from a model on a 176-129 run on top-rated picks, and find out.