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Today's Top Free Expert Picks

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  • expert headshot
    Larry Hartstein
    +287
    (80%)
    4-1 in Last 5 NFL Picks
    JAC -5.5
    -109
    Spread
    Picked: Oct 5 @ 3:32pm

    Analysis

    The Eagles are 0-4 ATS so you have to pay a premium to fade them. I still think it's the right move given all the key Philly contributors who could miss the London game. Jacksonville won at Cincinnati despite committing 13 penalties for 125 yards. It's nearly impossible to run against the Jags, who held the Bengals to 1.5 yards per carry. That should put a ton of pressure on Jalen Hurts and his depleted receiving corps. This line could close higher depending on the Eagles' injuries, so I prefer laying it now under the semi-key number of 6.
  • expert headshot
    R.J. White
    +286
    (71%)
    5-2 in Last 7 NFL Team Props Picks
    Philadelphia
    Under 17.5
    -122
    Away Team Total
    Picked: Oct 6 @ 3:27pm

    Analysis

    This spread has ballooned since it opened, with people fading a severely injured Eagles team. Rather than come in late in the line move, I like playing against the Eagles offense on a team total. The Jaguars are second in points allowed and familiar with the cross-Atlantic travel spot. The Eagles offense may be down to Will Shipley, Dontayvion Wicks, Makai Lemon and Zach Ertz at the skill positions, and Markel Bell did not play well when pressed into duty in place of Lane Johnson, who retired this week. We'll see if he's better with a week of prep, but Philadelphia was lucky to score 20 last week with just 172 yards of offense, and this is just as tough a matchup.
  • expert headshot
    Brad Thomas
    +65
    (57%)
    4-3 in Last 7 NFL Player Props Picks
    player headshot
    B. Tuten
    Over 65.5
    -114
    Rushing Yards
    Picked: Oct 7 @ 2:49pm

    Analysis

    Tuten has cleared this total in 3 out of 4 games, and this matchup is softer than the Denver defense he faced when he still managed 65 yards on 13 carries. Jacksonville runs the ball at the fourth-highest rate in the NFL, and Tuten has seen at least 13 carries in every game, including 15 or more in three of four. That workload gives him plenty of upside. Philadelphia’s offense is dealing with injuries across the offensive line, backfield, and receiving corps, which could make it difficult for the Eagles to sustain drives or play from ahead. If Jacksonville leads in the second half, Tuten should get plenty of chances to grind out yards against an Eagles defense that has been vulnerable on the ground.
  • expert headshot
    David Bearman
    +70
    (60%)
    3-2 in Last 5 NFL Player Props Picks
    player headshot
    W. Shipley
    Under 36.5
    -125
    Rushing Yards
    Picked: Oct 8 @ 8:54pm

    Analysis

    If you took the under on the opposing RB this season vs. the Jaguars defense, you are 4-0. Quinshon Judkins, J.K. Dobbins, TreVeyon Henderson, and Chase Brown averaged 25.5 rush yards vs. Jacksonville. The Jags have the second-best rush defense this season, allowing only 74.3 yards per game, and top rush defense dating back to last year. Will Shipley is making his first start for the injured Saquon Barkley and Tank Bigsby, behind an OL that just lost Lane Johnson and Cam Jurgens.
  • expert headshot
    R.J. White
    +790
    (57%)
    44-33-3 in Last 80 NFL Picks
    LV +3.5
    -104
    Spread
    Picked: Oct 5 @ 11:16am

    Analysis

    The Raiders saw a significant rise in quality of opponent in Week 4 and largely rose to the challenge. Without a kickoff fumble late in the game, they could've had a chance to win a back-and-forth fourth quarter after not trailing in the first 45 minutes. I've upgraded their rating considerably after their strong start and downgraded the Patriots, who got back on track by beating the Bills on the road. I like fading a team off such a rivalry upset win, especially with the Raiders off a rivalry loss that slipped through their fingers. I don't think this line should be higher than 2, so I love catching more than a field goal here.

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