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Lessons learned from Week 1: Williams' ascent has just begun

Caleb Williams could be in store for a historic season if Chicago's offensive explosion in Week 1 is a sign of things to come. Plus, Kenneth Walker III might just be the answer to the Chiefs' biggest problem.

NFL

Lessons learned from Week 1: Williams' ascent has just begun
Chambliss has chance to steal spotlight in Kiffin's return to Ole Miss

College Football

Chambliss has chance to steal spotlight in Kiffin's return to Ole Miss
NFL injury panic meter: Sound the alarm for Myles Garrett, A.J. Brown

NFL

NFL injury panic meter: Sound the alarm for Myles Garrett, A.J. Brown
Big 12's big plan for basketball: LED courts, a Monster deal and much more

College Basketball

Big 12's big plan for basketball: LED courts, a Monster deal and much more

0:49

DWCS Week 6 Highlights: Zevan Hunt vs Mayton Perea

DWCS Week 6 Highlights: Zevan Hunt vs Mayton Perea
1:13

DWCS Week 6 Highlights: Hugo Guillon vs Luis Hernandez

DWCS Week 6 Highlights: Hugo Guillon vs Luis Hernandez
0:43

DWCS Week 6 Highlights: Tyshawn Williams vs Antonio Monteiro

DWCS Week 6 Highlights: Tyshawn Williams vs Antonio Monteiro
0:45

DWCS Week 6 Highlights: Oscar Ravello vs Igor Cavalcanti

DWCS Week 6 Highlights: Oscar Ravello vs Igor Cavalcanti
0:24

DWCS Week 6 Highlights: Ednilson Santos vs Akbar Abdullaev

DWCS Week 6 Highlights: Ednilson Santos vs Akbar Abdullaev
0:44

Yankees vs Twins

MLB•Final

8

1

Yankees vs Twins
0:41

Braves vs Cubs

MLB•Final

6

3

Braves vs Cubs
0:45

Dodgers vs Reds

MLB•Final

4

0

Dodgers vs Reds
0:23

Giants vs Cardinals

MLB•Final

10

3

Giants vs Cardinals
$Red Sox vs Rangers$

0:47

Red Sox vs Rangers

MLB•Final

2

4

Red Sox vs Rangers
0:44

Padres vs Rockies

MLB•Final

3

9

Padres vs Rockies
0:25

Tigers vs Blue Jays

MLB•Final

10

1

Tigers vs Blue Jays
0:40

Athletics vs Rays

MLB•Final

1

2

Athletics vs Rays
2:13

White Sox vs Guardians

MLB•Final

6

7

White Sox vs Guardians
0:57

Brewers vs Pirates

MLB•Final

5

1

Brewers vs Pirates
0:46

Phillies vs Nationals

MLB•Final

3

6

Phillies vs Nationals
1:58

Broncos vs Chiefs

NFL•Final

10

31

Broncos vs Chiefs
0:42

Yankees vs Twins

MLB•Final

8

3

Yankees vs Twins
0:15

Giants vs Cardinals

MLB•Final

1

2

Giants vs Cardinals
0:48

Braves vs Cubs

MLB•Final

3

7

Braves vs Cubs
0:35

Padres vs Rockies

MLB•Final

8

7

Padres vs Rockies
0:45

White Sox vs Guardians

MLB•Final

7

3

White Sox vs Guardians
1:52

Orioles vs Mets

MLB•Final

2

1

Orioles vs Mets
2:03

Cowboys vs Giants

NFL•Final

20

28

Cowboys vs Giants
1:42

Commanders vs Eagles

NFL•Final

22

24

Commanders vs Eagles

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Jeff Hochman

+250

(100%)

3-0-2 in Last 5 MLB Game Props Picks

MLB
DET @ TOR • Wed 3:07pm

DET

-120

First 5 Innings Moneyline

Picked: Sep 16 @ 12:07am

Analysis

Keider Montero (3.55 ERA, 3.56 xERA) has a clear pitching advantage early on against Max Scherzer (6.38 ERA, 4.43 xERA). Montero’s ability to keep the ball low, combined with the late-afternoon shadows at Rogers Centre, makes it hard for Toronto hitters to lift his sinker. This is a tough spot for a Blue Jays lineup that’s already 30th in runs per game and 29th in team slugging (.386). The Tigers are 7th in runs scored on the road and 18th at home. They are 4.5 games out of a wild card spot. Still fighting to the end. My model projects the Tigers to win the First 5 innings 62.7% of the time (fair odds of -168), giving you an 8.2% betting edge at -120 (54.5%).

Matchup
Eric Cohen

#1

+2814

(63%)

70-41 in Last 111 MLB Picks

MLB
MIA @ ARI • Wed 9:40pm

ARI

-126

Money Line

Picked: Sep 16 @ 1:17am

Analysis

This is a must win for Arizona after falling in extra innings on Tuesday night. The Diamondbacks sit 2.5 games behind the Padres for the final National League Wild Card spot, but finish the regular season at Petco Park for a three game series next weekend. Marlins starter Ryan Gusto has a 5.91 ERA in two starts this month and while Merrill Kelly doesn't inspire a ton of confidence from the Diamondbacks side, the team has won two of his last three starts. Quite simply, I have a hard time seeing Arizona lose this series when so much is on the line, so I guess I'll have to pay to find out.

Matchup
Prop Bet Guy

#1

+900

(80%)

12-3 in Last 15 NFL Player Props Picks

NFL
DET @ BUF • Thu 8:15pm

D. Moore

Over 59.5

-114

Receiving Yards

Picked: Sep 15 @ 9:14am

Analysis

DraftKings. I’m buying DJ Moore’s big debut as a Bill. He put up 100 yards in what was a brutal matchup on paper against the Texans defense. He’ll now face the Lions who allowed the fifth most receiving yards to first reads last season (170 yards per game) and the third most yards to outside receivers (121 per game). In Week 1, they were torched by Chris Olave for 182 yards (29% first read rate). Moore had a 33% first read rate and aligned out wide for 71% of his snaps against Houston. I like the notion that we are buying into Josh Allen’s WR1 in a smash spot (all stats via Fantasy Points Data). I’d bet this to over 64.5 yards.

Matchup
R.J. White

+286

(80%)

4-1 in Last 5 NFL Player Props Picks

NFL
DET @ BUF • Thu 8:15pm

J. Allen

Over 248.5

-114

Passing Yards

Picked: Sep 15 @ 1:56pm

Analysis

These two teams both scored and allowed 30 points in Week 1, though it took OT for Detroit. Even taking out overtime, the Lions were torched by Tyler Shough, who finished with 410 yards. Josh Allen had 334 yards himself last week against a tough defense while leaning on DJ Moore and Dalton Kincaid, and I expect him to look for those big gains again, playing a team that can run up the score in the Lions. I think this one is worth laddering to 300+ yards, and my only worry is the state of the field in Highmark Stadium's first regular-season game.

Matchup
Brad Thomas

Lord BLT

NFL
DET @ BUF • Thu 8:15pm

J. Williams

Over 57.5

-114

Receiving Yards

Picked: Sep 15 @ 9:40pm

Analysis

I’m not letting the Week 1 box score scare me away from Williams. He finished with just 45 yards, but his usage was perfect for attacking this over. Williams saw nine targets, ran a route on 37 of Jared Goff’s 40 dropbacks and commanded 128 air yards, accounting for 56% of Detroit’s total air yards. His 23% target share was also second on the team. The bigger story was the drops. Williams had two credited drops, including one on a perfectly placed deep ball that could have turned into a long touchdown. The opportunities could be there, especially in a favorable script.

Matchup