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Today's Top Free Expert Picks

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  • expert headshot
    Micah Roberts
    +294
    (80%)
    4-1 in Last 5 NCAAF O/U Picks
    Over 57.5
    -110
    Over/Under
    Picked: Oct 5 @ 8:50pm

    Analysis

    The South Alabama Jaguars travel to Jonesboro, Arkansas, to play the Arkansas State Red Wolves, who are a 1.5-point favorite Thursday night. The area that got me excited for this game is a total sitting at 57.5. South Alabama averages a 35-31 score as they're 3-2 straight up and ATS. Last week they beat Louisiana Monroe 52–35. They've gone over the total in four of their five games. Arkansas State may barely win the game, but this game will definitely go over despite the last five meetings staying under.
  • expert headshot
    Matt Severance
    #1
    +330
    (80%)
    4-1 in Last 5 NHL ML Picks
    NYI
    -167
    Money Line
    Picked: Oct 7 @ 3:14pm

    Analysis

    This feels a good 25 cents low for Thursday so I'll grab it now with No. 1 Ilya Sorokin already confirmed in net for the Islanders. The Russian has been spectacular in allowing just two goals on 63 shots so far. The Hawks won't be very good with Connor Bedard and he's still out. And so is another top-six forward in Teuvo Teravainen (2A). Chicago is 0-3 away, outscored 15-5, and this is a one-game trip that players hate. You are probably fine with the 60-minute line to bring this down or -1. I'm going to up the wager to 1.5 units at this number.
  • expert headshot
    Matt Snyder
    +149
    (53%)
    10-9 in Last 19 MLB Player Props Picks
    player headshot
    P. Messick
    Over 6.5
    +124
    Pitcher Strikeouts
    Picked: Oct 7 @ 11:03pm

    Analysis

    The White Sox ranked 5th in MLB in K% this season, and Messick struck them out 10 and 8 times in his two starts at Rate Field. He got them six times in 4 1/3 innings in Game 1, and I'm expecting him to go deeper in Game 4. Oh, and the White Sox struck out 19 times in Game 3.
  • expert headshot
    Thomas Casale
    +6
    (56%)
    5-4 in Last 9 NFL Picks
    DAL -9.5
    -111
    Spread
    Picked: Oct 5 @ 1:45am

    Analysis

    The Bucs are the type of team Dallas typically rolls at home. The Cowboys have played well since Week 1, and while the defense is still a concern, the Bucs aren't built to exploit it right now. Undrafted free agent Jalon Daniels struggled in his NFL debut against the Packers as expected, and the Bucs were held to 4.5 yards per play. It's not Daniels' fault, he has no business starting in the NFL right now. If the Cowboys put up 27 on Thursday, they should cover this number comfortably at home.
  • expert headshot
    R.J. White
    +912
    (58%)
    43-31-3 in Last 77 NFL Picks
    TB +10.5
    -118
    Spread
    Picked: Oct 5 @ 11:02am

    Analysis

    Jalon Daniels lost his first career start and now has to turn around on a short week for this matchup. But I thought he looked fine against the Packers, no worse than Baker Mayfield this season, and his rushing ability could help against a team that gave up 50+ rush yards to QBs in each of its first three games. The Cowboys defense has gotten torched all year, most recently by a Texans team with one legit weapon on offense. The Cowboys haven't been favored by more than seven at home since 2023, and this Cowboys team with a defense that ranks last in yards per play doesn't seem like one worthy of breaking that stretch. I have confidence in the backdoor cover if needed.

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