Dolphins vs. Raiders odds, picks, line, how to watch, live stream: 2021 Week 3 NFL predictions from top model

SportsLine's model reveals its NFL picks for Miami Dolphins vs. Las Vegas Raiders on CBS and Paramount+

By CBS Sports Staff

Sep 26, 2021 at 3:18 pm ET • 2 min read

The Las Vegas Raiders made a statement with an emphatic 26-17 victory over the Pittsburgh Steelers last week. Now the Raiders will look to make it three wins in a row when they host the Miami Dolphins on Sunday afternoon. The Dolphins, meanwhile, will be looking to right the ship after suffering a humiliating 35-0 defeat against the Buffalo Bills last Sunday.

Kickoff for Dolphins vs. Raiders is set for 4:05 p.m. ET at Allegiant Stadium in Las Vegas. Caesars Sportsbook lists Las Vegas as a 3.5-point favorite in the latest Raiders vs. Dolphins odds, while the over-under for total points scored is 44.5. In select markets, Sunday's matchup can be seen live on CBS and streamed live on Paramount+ with their must-have Premium plan.

Paramount+ now has levels of membership so you can watch your local NFL on CBS matchups and much more. The Premium Plan is $9.99 per month and you can watch your local CBS live stream, including plenty of sports like SEC on CBS, NFL on CBS, and the PGA Tour, with no ads, on demand and the ability to download episodes for offline viewing. Both plans come with a free week to start and include the NFL on CBS, so sign up now here.

How to watch Dolphins vs. Raiders

Date: Sunday, Sept. 26
Time: 4:05 p.m. ET
TV: CBS
Streaming: Paramount+

Week 3 NFL picks for Raiders vs. Dolphins

Before you tune in to Sunday's Raiders vs. Dolphins game, you need to see the NFL picks from SportsLine's advanced computer model.The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up almost $7,800 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception six-plus years ago. It went a sizzling 24-14 on top-rated NFL picks last season, returning more than $800. The model also enters Week 3 of the 2021 season on an incredible 122-81 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season.

The model also ranked in the Top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past five years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94 percent of CBS Sports Football Pick'em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.

For Dolphins vs. Raiders, the model is predicting that Las Vegas will cover the 3.5-point spread. The simulations trend towards the Raiders winning again at home by six, 28-22.

Las Vegas has been one of the biggest surprises thus far this season. The Raiders enter Sunday's contest averaging 458.0 yards per game on offense, which ranks first in the NFL. Quarterback Derek Carr has been sensational through two games, throwing for 817 yards, four touchdowns and just one interception. Carr's favorite target has been tight end Darren Waller, who's already secured 15 receptions for 170 yards and a touchdown this season.

Miami, meanwhile, will be without starting quarterback Tua Tagovailoa on Sunday, who was placed in injured reserve with fractured ribs. Jacoby Brissett will get the start for the Dolphins despite completing just 24-of-40 pass attempts for 169 yards in Miami's lopsided loss last week.

SportsLine's model expects Carr to throw for 319 yards, while Waller racks up 85 receiving yards, which helps the Raiders cover the spread in well over 50 percent of simulations.