The 2022 WM Phoenix Open begins on Thursday with the first tee times coming at 9:15 a.m. ET, and with massive crowds creating the PGA Tour's most raucous environments, it's a tournament unlike any other on tour. The Stadium Course at TPC Scottsdale will welcome one of the strongest PGA Tour fields of the early season. The 2022 WM Phoenix Open field will include six of the top 10 players in the Official World Golf Ranking, including world No. 1 Jon Rahm.
Rahm played collegiately at Arizona State, so he'll have a home-crowd advantage and is listed as the 15-2 favorite in the 2022 WM Phoenix Open odds from Caesars Sportsbook. Justin Thomas (14-1), Viktor Hovland (16-1) and Patrick Cantlay (16-1) are also near the top of the PGA Tour odds board for the week. Before locking in your 2022 WM Phoenix Open picks, be sure to see the golf predictions and projected leaderboard from the proven computer model at SportsLine.
SportsLine's proprietary model, built by DFS pro Mike McClure, has been red-hot since the PGA Tour resumed in June of 2020. In fact, it's up almost $10,000 on its best bets since that point, nailing tournament after tournament.
At the 2021 Open Championship, McClure's best bets included Collin Morikawa winning outright even though he was listed as a massive 40-1 long shot. In addition, McClure's model was all over Jon Rahm's (10-1) first career major championship victory at the 2021 U.S. Open. Rahm was two strokes off the lead heading into the weekend, but the model still projected him as the winner.
This same model has also nailed a whopping seven majors entering the weekend. Anyone who has followed it has seen massive returns.
Now that the WM Phoenix Open 2022 field is locked, SportsLine simulated the event 10,000 times, and the results were surprising. Head to SportsLine now to see the projected 2022 WM Phoenix Open leaderboard.
The model's top 2022 WM Phoenix Open predictions
One major surprise the model is calling for at the 2022 WM Phoenix Open: Hideki Matsuyama, a two-time champion of this event and one of the top favorites, stumbles and doesn't even crack the top-five. The 29-year-old has already secured two victories this season, finishing on top of the leaderboard at the Zozo Championship and Sony Open. He's also finished inside the top-15 in three of his last four starts.
However, Matsuyama has struggled mightily with his putter this season, ranking 183rd in strokes gained: putting (-.452), 139th in total putting (256.1) and 104th in overall putting average (1.605). In addition, Matsuyama failed to crack the top-40 at this event last year, which doesn't bode well for his chances to win this week. He's not a strong pick to win it all and there are far better values in the WM Phoenix Open 2022 field.
Another surprise: Brooks Koepka, a 35-1 long shot, makes a strong run at the title. He has a much better chance to win it all than the odds imply, so he's a target for anyone looking for a big payday. The 31-year-old is a four-time major champion and he's the defending champion at the Phoenix Open.
Koepka bested Xander Schauffele and Lee Kyoung-hoon to capture the victory at TPC Scottsdale last year, and it's been his only win since the summer of 2019. He's now a two-time champion of the WM Phoenix Open, having captured his first career PGA Tour victory in the event in 2015 with a one-shot win over Matsuyama, Ryan Palmer and Bubba Watson. Koepka has slipped to No. 20 in the Official World Golf Ranking, but he'll have a chance to begin climbing again at a venue he's had incredible success in.
How to make 2022 WM Phoenix Open picks
The model is also targeting two other golfers with odds of 30-1 or higher who will make surprising runs. Anyone who backs these long shots could hit it big. You can only see them here.
So who will win the 2022 WM Phoenix Open? And which long shots stun the golfing world? Check out the odds below and then visit SportsLine to see the projected 2022 WM Phoenix Open leaderboard, all from the model that's nailed seven golf majors and is up almost $10,000 since the restart.
2022 WM Phoenix Open odds
Jon Rahm +750
Justin Thomas +1400
Viktor Hovland +1600
Patrick Cantlay +1600
Hideki Matsuyama +1800
Xander Schauffele +2000
Jordan Spieth +2000
Scottie Scheffler +2800
Daniel Berger +3000
Tony Finau +3300
Sam Burns +3300
Brooks Koepka +3500
Webb Simpson +3500
Bubba Watson +3500
Seamus Power +4000
Louis Oosthuizen +4000
Matt Fitzpatrick +4000
Adam Scott +4500
Corey Conners +5000
Russell Henley +5000
Abraham Ancer +5000
Harold Varner +5000
Talor Gooch +5500
Billy Horschel +5500
Tom Hoge +6000
Luke List +6000
Harris English +6000
Maverick McNealy +6600
Max Homa +6600
Matt Kuchar +8000
Francesco Molinari +8000
Kevin Kisner +8000
Si-Woo Kim +8000
Rickie Fowler +8000
Andrew Putnam +9000
Brian Harman +9000
Keith Mitchell +9000
Joel Dahmen +9000
Branden Grace +9000
Gary Woodland +10000
Denny McCarthy +10000
Russell Knox +10000
Cam Davis +10000
Pat Perez +10000
Troy Merritt +10000
Lucas Herbert +10000
Aaron Wise +10000
Keegan Bradley +10000
Michael Thompson +12500
Kevin Streelman +12500
Adam Hadwin +12500
Alex Noren +12500
Mito Pereira +12500
Carlos Ortiz +12500
Chris Kirk +12500
Kyoung-Hoon Lee +12500
Matt Jones +12500
Brendon Todd +12500
Charles Howell +12500
Brendan Steele +15000
Emiliano Grillo +15000
Hudson Swafford +15000
Wyndham Clark +15000
Garrick Higgo +15000
Stewart Cink +15000
Sahith Theegala +15000
Patton Kizzire +15000
Matthew NeSmith +15000
Martin Laird +15000
Matt Wallace +15000
Charley Hoffman +15000
Doug Ghim +15000
Chez Reavie +15000
Nate Lashley +15000
Nick Taylor +15000
Beau Hossler +15000
Dylan Frittelli +15000
Brandt Snedeker +15000
Lucas Glover +15000
Zach Johnson +15000
Patrick Rodgers +15000
James Hahn +20000
Adam Long +20000
Scott Piercy +20000
Kramer Hickok +20000
Sebastian Munoz +20000
Scott Stallings +20000
Harry Higgs +20000
J.T. Poston +20000
Joseph Bramlett +20000
Sepp Straka +25000
Kyle Stanley +25000
C.T. Pan +25000
Ryan Moore +25000
Henrik Norlander +25000