Barclays Center showcases a pressure-packed WNBA matchup on Wednesday evening. The New York Liberty take on the Las Vegas Aces in Game 4 of the 2023 WNBA Finals, with the home team needing to win to stay alive. New York trails Las Vegas by a 2-1 margin in the best-of-five series, with the Aces looking to win the title with a Game 4 win. The Liberty lost the first two games on the road before winning Game 3 by a double-digit margin in Brooklyn.
Caesars Sportsbook lists the Liberty as 3-point favorites, and tip-off is scheduled for 8 p.m. ET. The total number of points Vegas thinks will be scored, or the Over-Under, is 169.5 in the latest Liberty vs. Aces odds. Before making any Aces vs. Liberty picks or WNBA predictions, you need to see what SportsLine women's basketball experts Calvin Wetzel and Aaron Barzilai have to say.
Barzilai is a Ph.D. from Stanford who served as Director of Basketball Analytics for the Philadelphia 76ers. Five years ago, he founded HerHoopStats.com -- a groundbreaking website that unlocks insights about the women's game. Wetzel, the site's lead betting writer, incorporates his mathematical background and strong knowledge of women's hoops to turn the site's prediction model into picks.
Now, Barzilai and Wetzel have turned their attention to the WNBA after going 996-685 on all college basketball picks over the last two seasons, putting them up 294 units since the start of the 2021-22 season. They also finished the 2022 WNBA regular season with a 54-44 mark in 2022. Anyone who has followed them has seen huge returns.
Now, Barzilai and Wetzel have set their sights on Aces vs. Liberty and just locked in their picks and WNBA predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see their picks. Now, here are several WNBA odds and betting lines for Liberty vs. Aces:
- Aces vs. Liberty spread: Liberty -6
- Aces vs. Liberty over/under: 169 points
- Aces vs. Liberty money line: Liberty -260, Aces +210
- Aces vs. Liberty picks: See picks at SportsLine
Why the Aces can cover
Las Vegas suffered its first loss of the playoffs in Game 3, but the Aces have an incredibly strong profile to lean on in advance of Game 4. The Aces posted the best record (34-6) in the WNBA this season, and are 7-1 in the playoffs while out-scoring opponents by more than 100 combined points. Las Vegas leads the WNBA playoffs in offensive rating (110.5) and defensive rating (93.3), holding opponents to 39.5% shooting and producing league-best marks in true shooting percentage (57.5%), free throw percentage (89.7%) and free throw creation (19.4 attempts per game) on offense.
The Aces are also shooting 39.7% from 3-point range in the series against New York. Las Vegas led the league in scoring, field goal percentage, 2-point percentage, free throw percentage and turnover avoidance in 2023, and the Aces have a bevy of highly talented offensive creators. A'Ja Wilson is the headliner for Las Vegas as a two-time MVP and five-time All-Star, and Wilson is averaging 20.3 points and 11.3 rebounds per game in the series. Kelsey Plum, a two-time All-Star, is leading the team with 26.0 points per game in the series, and Plum averaged 18.7 points and 4.5 assists per contest in the regular season. See which team to pick here.
Why the Liberty can cover
New York's Game 3 performance inspired confidence after two shaky performances to begin the series. The Liberty shot 52% from the field in the double-digit victory, converting 13 of 30 attempts from 3-point range. New York also produced 28 assists against only 11 turnovers, and the Liberty were led by 27 points and eight rebounds from Jonquel Jones and 20 points and 12 rebounds from Breanna Stewart.
On defense, the Liberty also held the Aces to just 33.3% shooting and produced eight blocked shots in the game. That comes after a regular season in which New York led the WNBA in field goal percentage allowed (42.4%) and 2-point percentage allowed (46.1%), and the Liberty also finished in the top three in free throw prevention and assist prevention. Stewart is a tremendous defensive force on an individual basis, and the 2023 WNBA MVP is averaging 19.3 points, 9.8 rebounds, and 2.1 blocks per game during New York's postseason run. See which team to pick here.
How to make Aces vs. Liberty picks
For Game 4 of the 2023 WNBA Finals, Barzilai and Wetzel are leaning Over on the point total, but also highlight a critical X-factor that makes one side of the spread a must-back. They are only sharing what it is, and which side of the Aces vs. Liberty spread to back, at SportsLine.
So who wins Aces vs. Liberty, and which side of the spread is a must-back? Visit SportsLine now to find out which side of the Liberty vs. Aces spread you need to jump on Wednesday, all from the experts who are up 294 units since the start of the 2021-22 season, and find out.
