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Newcastle United will try to get right against a struggling Bournemouth side Saturday when they visit Vitality Stadium for an English Premier League match. Newcastle (10-10-1) struggled to a 1-1 home draw with West Ham last Saturday. The lost points cost the Magpies a chance to gain ground among the top four after Arsenal and Manchester City both lost. But now they get a chance against Bournemouth (4-5-12), who have lost five of their past six Premier League matches. The Cherries scored one goal over that span, in a 1-1 draw with Nottingham Forest. They sit in 19th place after a 1-0 loss to Brighton last Saturday.

Kickoff is set for 12:30 p.m. ET in Bournemouth, England. Caesars Sportsbook lists the Magpies as -165 favorites (risk $165 to win $100) in its latest Bournemouth vs. Newcastle odds. Bournemouth are +500 underdogs, a draw is priced at +285, and the over/under for total match goals is set at 2.5. Before locking in any Newcastle vs. Bournemouth picks or soccer bets, you need to see the English Premier League predictions and best bets from SportsLine soccer insider Jon Eimer. 

Eimer, widely known as "Buckets," is a high-volume bettor who has vast knowledge of leagues and players across the globe. Since joining SportsLine, Eimer has covered the English Premier League, Serie A, the FA Cup and much more. 

He is a stunning 64-28-1 (69%) on his Premier League picks for SportsLine since the start of 2022, for a profit of more than $3,000 for $100 bettors. Eimer also is 28-12 (+17.42) on all soccer article predictions for SportsLine in 2023. Anyone who follows him is way up.

Now, Eimer has broken down the Bournemouth vs. Newcastle matchup from all sides and just locked in his picks and predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see his picks. Here are the betting lines and trends for Newcastle vs. Bournemouth:

  • Bournemouth vs. Newcastle spread: Newcastle -0.5 (-175)
  • Bournemouth vs. Newcastle over/under: 2.5 goals 
  • Bournemouth vs. Newcastle money line: Bournemouth +500, Newcastle -165, Draw +285
  • BOU: They are minus-23 in away goal differential but minus-1 at home 
  • NEW: They have 17 road points, the same as Bournemouth's overall total 
  • Bournemouth vs. Newcastle picks: See picks here

Why you should back Newcastle

The Magpies are 4-3-0 in the past seven meetings in all competitions. That includes a 1-0 victory in the most recent matchup, in the Round of 16 in the EFL Cup in December. The defenses are on opposite ends of the spectrum, with Newcastle conceding a league-low 12 goals in 21 matches. Bournemouth have yielded 43 goals, most in the league. The Cherries have scored just 19 goals, while the Magpies have scored 15 of their 34 on the road. Newcastle aren't known to dominate possession, but they held the ball for 73% of the last league meeting, a 1-1 draw in September.

Bournemouth average just 40% possession, second-lowest in the league, and they have allowed the most shots in the Premier League (335). Their attack ranks 19th in shots on target (65), while the Magpies have allowed 62 attempts on net (third-fewest). Magpies goalkeeper Nick Pope has a league-high 12 clean sheets and is third in save percentage (82.5). Newcastle aren't a scoring machine, but Miguel Almiron (nine goals) and Callum Wilson (nine) can be trouble. Alexander Isak also should return from a concussion, and he converted a penalty kick in the September draw. 

Why you should back Bournemouth 

The Cherries have shown some signs of life in recent matches. They conceded the equalizer in the final 10 minutes of a 1-1 draw with Nottingham Forest. Then they battled to the end with sixth-place Brighton, outshooting the Seagulls 12-7 (4-2 on net). Only 11 of the 34 goals they have conceded have come on their home pitch, and while they yield a lot of shots, they do well keeping them off target. Bournemouth are one of the three EPL teams allowing less than 30% of opponents' shots on net, along with Newcastle and Wolves. Newcastle average less than five attempts on net per game.

There has been an injection of talent, with six players added in January. Hamed Traore, who is on loan from Sassuolo, showed his potential in his debut against Brighton. The 22-year-old scored 16 goals in his first three seasons with the Italian club. Fellow newcomer Antoine Semenyo, who has 14 goals the past two seasons with Bristol City, also started Saturday. Philip Billing and Kieffer Moore, with four goals apiece, also can finish chances. Newcastle will remain without Bruno Guimaraes, who is serving a three-game ban for a red card, making them noticeably weaker defensively.

How to make EPL and Bournemouth vs. Newcastle picks

Eimer has broken down Saturday's Bournemouth vs. Newcastle match from every angle. He is leaning Under on the goal total and has two other confident best bets, including a goal-scoring prop, and his full breakdown of the match. He's only sharing his Premier League picks and analysis at SportsLine.

So who wins Newcastle vs. Bournemouth in Saturday's Premier League match? And where does all the betting value lie? Visit SportsLine now to see the best bets for the Bournemouth vs. Newcastle match, all from the soccer expert up more than $3,000 on his Premier League picks, and find out.