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Liverpool hosts Newcastle United on Wednesday in a 2022-23 English Premier League match as they seek to work their way back to the top of the table. The Reds (1-2-1) got their first victory of the season Saturday, but it was a big one, so they hope it propels them to a dominant run. They sit 12th in the Premier League table after all expectations were another fierce battle at the top with league champion Manchester City. They finished one point behind City last season and added more talent in the offseason, but now they are off to a low start. However, they crushed Bournemouth 9-0 on Saturday – tied for the biggest victory in Premier League history – so they plan to ride the momentum. Newcastle (1-3-1) comes in unbeaten and has been spending money to add talent. Liverpool won both matchups last season, including a 3-1 victory at Anfield.

Kickoff is set for 3 p.m ET in Liverpool, England. Caesars Sportsbook lists Liverpool as the -330 favorite (risk $330 to win $100) on the 90-minute money line in its latest Liverpool vs. Newcastle odds. Newcastle is listed as the +850 underdog, a regulation draw at +460 and the over/under for total goals scored at 3.5. Before you make any Newcastle vs. Liverpool picks, make sure you check out the English Premier League predictions from SportsLine soccer insider Martin Green

After working in the sports betting industry for several years, Green became a professional sports writer and handicapper and has covered the game worldwide. Since then, his European soccer picks have been stunningly accurate. Green has generated almost $35,000 for $100 bettors since the 2017-18 season, and he is 9-7 on his past 16 EPL picks. He has his finger on the pulse of the game all over the globe.

Now, Green has broken down the Liverpool vs. Newcastle matchup from every angle and just locked in his picks and EPL predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see his picks. Here are the betting lines and trends for Newcastle vs. Liverpool:

  • Liverpool vs. Newcastle spread: Liverpool -1.5 (-135)
  • Liverpool vs. Newcastle over/under: 3.5 goals 
  • Liverpool vs. Newcastle money line: Liverpool -330, Newcastle +850, Draw +460 
  • LIV: The Reds have outscored Newcastle 65-21 during their 26-game home win streak 
  • NEW: The Magpies have allowed 12 goals in their past 12 games, eight to Manchester City 
  • Liverpool vs. Newcastle picks: See picks here.

Why you should back Liverpool 

The Reds have not lost to the Magpies since 2015, going 7-4-0 in that span, and have gone 26 matches without a loss to Newcastle at home (21-5-0). They also have dominated almost everyone at Anfield, going 16-5-0 there in league play since the start of last season. They were the only team to go unbeaten on their home turf in 2021-22 and outscored their opponents 49-9. Luis Diaz, who came over during the winter transfer window, scored two goals Saturday to give him three this season. Roberto Firmino also had a brace and has been a key in the attack.    

Firmino leads the EPL in goal-creating actions per 90 minutes at 2.16. Trent-Alexander Arnold also is a major weapon, leading the league in passes (22) and crosses (nine) into the penalty area and tied for second in shot-creating actions (22). Mohamed Salah has two goals after sharing the league lead with 23 last season. Liverpool's talented attack could have a field day against a Newcastle defense that has allowed 20 shots on target, third-most in the EPL.

Why you should back Newcastle

The Magpies come in with some injury concerns, which is not ideal. Allan Saint-Maximin, who has six goals and seven assists since the start of last season, is likely out with a hamstring injury. But the team has invested in talent and depth, and leading 2021-22 scorer Callum Wilson is healthy. He has two goals this season after posting eight in the previous campaign. The team also hopes to have new signing Alexander Isak registered in time to play. The Swedish striker scored 32 goals over the past three seasons with Real Sociedad in La Liga.

Defender Sven Botman was brought in to join Fabian Schar in the middle of the back line, and Nick Pope was added to provide stability in net. The Magpies should start directing more shots away from the target, but Pope has been up to the task so far. He has saved 80 percent of the shots he has faced (15 of 20) after posting a 74.9 percent mark in five seasons with Burnley

How to make Liverpool vs. Newcastle picks

Green has scrutinized the Newcastle vs. Liverpool match from every angle, and he is leaning Over on the goal total. He also provides his three confident best bets, including a player to score, and has a full breakdown of the match. He's only sharing his coveted Premier League picks here.

So, who wins Liverpool vs. Newcastle on Wednesday? And where does all the betting value lie? Visit SportsLine now to see the best bets for Newcastle vs. Liverpool, all from the European soccer expert who has generated almost $35,000 for $100 bettors over the past four seasons, and find out.