League leader Chelsea looks to keep rolling on Saturday when it hosts bottom-dweller Burnley in an English Premier League match at London's Stamford Bridge. The Blues (8-1-1) are three points clear of Liverpool at the top of the EPL table after winning four straight league matches. It is 6-1-0 in its last seven in all competitions and has been the best defensive team in the league. It beat Newcastle 3-0 in a Premier League matchup last Saturday and took a 1-0 victory against Malmo in a Tuesday Champions League match. Burnley (1-4-5) got its first victory of the season last Saturday, a 3-1 triumph against Brentford, and is in 18th place.
Kickoff is scheduled for 11 a.m. ET. Chelsea is the -420 favorite (risk $420 to win $100) on the 90-minute money line in Caesars Sportsbook's latest Chelsea vs. Burnley odds. Burnley is the +1300 underdog, a draw is listed at +470 and the over-under for total goals scored is 2.5. Before making any Burnley vs. Chelsea picks or EPL predictions, be sure to check out what proven European soccer insider Martin Green has to say.
After working in the sports betting industry for several years, Green became a professional sports writer and handicapper. Since then, his European soccer picks have hauled in stunning profits. Green has generated well over $36,000 for $100 bettors since the 2017-18 season.
Now, Green has analyzed the Chelsea vs. Burnley match from every possible angle and just locked in his coveted EPL picks and predictions. You can visit SportsLine now to see his Premier League picks. Here are several odds and betting lines for Burnley vs. Chelsea:
- Chelsea vs. Burnley spread: Chelsea -1.5 (-130)
- Chelsea vs. Burnley over-under: 2.5 goals
- Chelsea vs. Burnley money line: Chelsea -420, Burnley +1300, Draw +470
- CHE: Chelsea has a 20-2 goal advantage in its past seven matches in all competitions
- BUR: Burnley is 2-3-2 in its past seven in all competitions, with an 11-9 edge in goals
Why you should back Chelsea
The Blues have been dominant defensively, allowing a league-low three goals in their 10 matches. They have scored 26, the second-most in the EPL. Burnley has scored just 10 goals, and it faces a monumental task against a defense featuring Thiago Silva, Antonio Rudiger and Andreas Christensen. The Clarets also have just 35 shots on target this season, while the Blues have allowed 29, second-fewest in the league. If Burnley does manage to put one on net, it will have to get it past goalkeeper Edouard Mendy, who has a stunning 96.3 save percentage.
Chelsea is 6-1-0 in its last seven against Burnley, scoring 20 goals while yielding five. The Clarets haven't scored in the past three. Strikers Romelu Lukaku and Timo Werner are injured, but Kai Havertz (one goal) has led the attack, and Mason Mount (three goals, two assists) has the creativity to keep everyone involved. Wing backs Reece James (team-high four goals) and Ben Chilwell (three) have made big impacts, and midfielder Mateo Kovacic has a team-high five assists. USMNT star Christian Pulisic (one goal) also could play a role as he returns from injury.
Why you should back Burnley
The Clarets should come in with some confidence after getting their first victory of the season. Chris Wood, Maxwel Cornet and Matthew Lowton all scored in the 3-1 victory, and Cornet has scored four times in five games since joining the team in September. It was Wood's second goal of the season, and Lowton and fellow defenders James Tarkowski and Ben Mee each have one mark in the goal column. Ashley Barnes has scored 44 goals in nine seasons with Burnley, and Matej Vydra is a talented forward, but they both are still looking to get on the score sheet.
Burnley has scored just 10 goals, but five have come in its past two games. Manager Sean Dyche has been hamstrung by the lack of investment in players, and new ownership took over in December but it is unclear what that will mean. The Clarets are likely to sit back in this one, playing a physical match to try to frustrate the Blues. Burnley has been able to flummox opponents defensively, and it has the seventh-most passes intercepted in the EPL (152) and leads the league in aerials won (164).
How to make Chelsea vs. Burnley picks
Green has examined Saturday's Burnley vs. Chelsea match from all sides, and he is leaning over on the goal total. He also provides two confident best bets, including a strong play on one side, and offers his full analysis of the match. He's only sharing his expert Premier League picks at SportsLine.
So who wins Chelsea vs. Burnley? And where does all the betting value lie? Visit SportsLine now to see the best bets for Burnley vs. Chelsea, all from the European soccer expert who has generated more than $36,000 for $100 bettors over the past four seasons, and find out.
