Backing the Under has been profitable for NFL bettors all season, as 61.5% of games have gone under the total this year. That's the highest percentage through six weeks since 1991. The latest Week 7 NFL odds have three games with totals under 40 points: Falcons vs. Buccaneers (37), Bears vs. Raiders (37.5) and Giants vs. Commanders (39). If you're confident that these low totals aren't low enough, then combining your over/under picks into Week 7 NFL parlay bets could be a lucrative decision.
Eagles vs. Dolphins has the highest over-under of the day at 52, but the weather forecast for this game also predicts winds approaching 20 mph. High winds can wreck offensive productivity, so should you also take the Under in this game with your Week 7 NFL predictions? Before you make any Week 7 NFL picks or NFL parlays, be sure to see the NFL predictions and betting advice from SportsLine's proven computer model.
The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up well over $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model enters Week 7 of the 2023 NFL season on an incredible 172-120 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season. It is also on a 26-12 roll on top-rated NFL picks since Week 7 of last season.
The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past six years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94% of CBS Sports Football Pick'em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.
Now, the model has locked in five confident NFL best bets for Week 7. If you successfully parlay its picks, you'd be looking at a massive payout of around 25-1. You can only see the model's Week 7 NFL picks at SportsLine.
Top Week 7 NFL picks
After simulating every game 10,000 times, the model is high on the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-2.5) to cover at home against the Atlanta Falcons. The Falcons venturing away from Atlanta has been an issue over the last year, as they've lost their last eight games away from home. Quarterback Desmond Ridder also enters this contest coming off a career-worst game as he had three interceptions in last week's loss to Washington.
Ridder is winless on the road in his pro career (0-4) as the Falcons have averaged just 10 points in those games. It could be a monumental task for Atlanta to generate more points than that considering the Bucs have the best redzone defense in the NFL and rank fifth in takeaways per game. Atlanta averages just 16.5 points this season, which ranks 29th, but the model doesn't even see it reaching that point total. Tampa (-2.5) is projected to win by more than a touchdown and cover 66% of the time. See which other NFL parlay picks to make here.
How to make Week 7 NFL parlays
The model also jumped on four other NFL matchups where it says the line is way off, including backing an underdog that has a chance to win outright. You can only see the model's NFL Week 7 best bets and parlay at SportsLine.
What are the model's top Week 7 NFL picks? And which other NFL matchups should you target for a strong 25-1 payout? Visit SportsLine now to see the Week 7 NFL best bets from a model on a 172-120 run on top-rated picks, and find out.
