The Baltimore Ravens and the New England Patriots square off in a familiar matchup between AFC foes on Sunday Night Football. In 2020, however, the two teams are going in different directions. Baltimore is 6-2 and on the way to the playoffs, with Lamar Jackson at the helm and a quality defense in play. New England, meanwhile, is just 3-5 in its first season without Tom Brady under center, though the Patriots are coming off a Week 9 victory.
William Hill Sportsbook lists Baltimore as a 6.5-point favorite, and kick-off is scheduled for 8:20 p.m. ET. The total number of points Vegas thinks will be scored, or the over-under, is 44 in the latest Patriots vs. Ravens odds. Before you make any Ravens vs. Patriots picks, be sure to see the latest Sunday Night Football predictions from SportsLine's proven model.
The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up over $7,600 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception five-plus years ago. It's off to a strong 16-9 roll on top-rated NFL picks this season. The model enters Week 10 on an incredible 112-74 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season.
The model ranked in the Top 10 on NFLPickWatch in three of the past four years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 95 percent of CBS Sports office pool players three times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.
Now, the model has set its sights on Ravens vs. Patriots. You can visit SportsLine now to see the picks. Here are the NFL lines from William Hill and trends for Patriots vs. Ravens:
- Ravens vs. Patriots spread: Ravens -6.5
- Ravens vs. Patriots over-under: 44 points
- Ravens vs. Patriots money line: Ravens -270, Patriots +230
- BAL: Boast a plus-10.6 point differential
- NE: Patriots are 1-4 against the spread in non-division games
Why the Ravens can cover
The Ravens enter Sunday's showdown with every reason to believe they can be effective offensively. Baltimore leads the NFL in rushing, averaging 170.1 yards per game. The Ravens are also third in the league in averaging 5.1 yards per carry, and the Patriots are a below-average team in run defense. New England is giving up 131 yards per game on the ground this season, and Jackson is one of the league's preeminent dual-threat options at quarterback.
Through the air, Jackson has three times as many touchdowns (12) as interceptions (four), and the Patriots are dead-last in the NFL in allowing 8.8 yards per pass attempt in 2020. Baltimore can also rely on one of the NFL's best tight ends in Mark Andrews, with five touchdown catches this season.
Why the Patriots can cover
The Patriots remain a quality defensive team, headlined by their work against the pass. New England ranks fourth in the NFL with 10 interceptions, and J.C. Jackson leads the league with five interceptions while ranking in the top five with 10 passes defended. All told, the Patriots are a top-10 passing defense, allowing just 218.4 yards per game, and the Ravens are the NFL's second-worst passing offense, averaging 176.9 passing yards per game in 2020.
New England might be attempting to play field position in a low-possession matchup, and the Patriots also rank third in net punting, flipping the field by 46.7 yards per punt. Given their defense and special teams, the Patriots could be relying on their dynamic running game, and Cam Newton leads one of the five most potent rushing attacks in the NFL, with 13 rushing touchdowns and nearly 160 yards per game as a team.
How to make Ravens vs. Patriots picks
SportsLine's model is leaning over on the total, with the Ravens projected to average more than 5.0 yards per carry and Patriots wide receiver Jakobi Meyers projected to exceed his average receiving production. The model also says one side of the spread has all the value. You can only get the pick here.
So who wins Patriots vs. Ravens on Sunday Night Football? And which side of the spread has all the value? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Ravens vs. Patriots spread to jump on, all from the advanced model that is up over $7,600 on its NFL picks, and find out.
