The New York Jets (6-10) will be eyeing a rare road win against the New England Patriots (4-12) on Sunday afternoon. Both AFC East rivals have already been eliminated from playoff contention heading into the final week of the regular season. New England picked up a 15-10 road win in the first meeting between these teams, but that game came in Week 3. The Patriots are coming off a 27-21 loss to Buffalo, while the Jets fell to Cleveland in a 37-20 final last week..
Kickoff is set for 1 p.m. ET on Sunday at Gillette Stadium. The Patriots are favored by 2 points in the latest Patriots vs. Jets odds, while the over/under is 29 points via SportsLine consensus. Before entering any Jets vs. Patriots picks, you'll want to see the NFL predictions from the model at SportsLine.
The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up well over $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model enters Week 18 of the 2023 NFL season on an incredible 181-129 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season. It is also on a 35-21 roll on top-rated NFL picks since Week 7 of last season.
The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past six years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94% of CBS Sports Football Pick'em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.
The model has set its sights on New York vs. New England. You can head to SportsLine to see its picks. Here are several NFL betting lines for the game:
- Patriots vs. Jets spread: Patriots -2
- Patriots vs. Jets over/under: 29 points
- Patriots vs. Jets money line: Patriots -138, Jets +116
- Patriots vs. Jets picks: See picks here
- Patriots vs. Jets live stream: fubo (try for free)
Why the Patriots can cover
This rivalry has been as one-sided as any series in the NFL over the past decade, as New England has won 15 straight meetings overall and 12 straight at home. The Patriots escaped with a road win at MetLife Stadium in September, as veteran running back Ezekiel Elliott finished with 80 rushing yards. Elliott scored a touchdown in a 27-21 loss to Buffalo last week, as the Patriots easily covered the 15.5-point spread.
New York has lost seven of its last nine games and has allowed 31.7 points per game during its last three games. The Jets were blown out by the Browns last week, giving up 309 passing yards and three touchdowns to quarterback Joe Flacco. They have only covered the spread once in their last nine games, and they have failed to cover in six straight games against New England. See which team to pick here.
Why the Jets can cover
New England has been one of the worst teams to wager on over the past two seasons, covering the spread just five times in its last 20 games. The Patriots are an NFL-worst 1-7 in their eight home games, and they have only covered the spread once in their last five January outings. Zappe finished with zero touchdowns and three interceptions against Buffalo last week, while Ezekiel Elliott was the leading rusher with just 39 yards.
New York's offense has shown signs of life over the past month, scoring 30 points on two occasions and averaging 20 points per game during a four-game stretch. Running back Breece Hall has averaged 90.5 rushing yards and run for two scores over the past two weeks. New England is within reach of the No. 2 pick in the upcoming draft, so the Patriots have no incentive to win on Sunday. See which team to pick here.
How to make Patriots vs. Jets picks
The model has simulated Jets vs. Patriots 10,000 times and the results are in. The model is leaning Over, and it's also generated a point-spread pick that is hitting in over 50% of simulations. You can only see the pick at SportsLine.
So who wins Patriots vs. Jets, and which side of the spread hits over 50% of the time? Visit SportsLine right now to see which side of the Jets vs. Patriots spread you should be all over Sunday, all from the model on a 181-129 roll on its top-rated NFL picks, and find out.
