Few NFL players have captured the imagination of the public quite like Chiefs quarterback Patrick Mahomes. The superstar signal caller emerged from Texas Tech in 2017 and, after a year learning behind Alex Smith, took the reins in 2018 and didn't look back – throwing for 5,097 yards and 50 touchdowns en route to winning the NFL MVP award and then backing it up with a Super Bowl MVP in 2019. Can Mahomes win a second consecutive Super Bowl when the Chiefs take on the Tampa Bay Buccaneers in Super Bowl LV? And what are the best Patrick Mahomes prop bets for the 2021 Super Bowl?
The latest Patrick Mahomes prop bets at William Hill Sportsbook include Mahomes at 332.5 passing yards, 18.5 total rushing yards and 0.5 interceptions. Which props involving the reigning Super Bowl MVP have the most value? Before settling on any Patrick Mahomes prop bets for Super Bowl LV, be sure to check out the 2021 Super Bowl prop predictions from the proven computer model at SportsLine.
The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up almost $7,900 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception five-plus years ago. It has also crushed its NFL prop picks this season, entering the 2021 Super Bowl on a strong 386-309 roll, returning a massive profit of almost $3,200 this season. Anyone who has followed it is way up.
With the 2021 Super Bowl scheduled for Feb. 7, the model has evaluated the Patrick Mahomes NFL player props from William Hill and its best bets. You can see all of its 2021 Super Bowl best bets here.
Top Patrick Mahomes prop picks for Chiefs vs. Buccaneers
One of the Patrick Mahomes prop bets the model recommends: Mahomes goes under 332.5 passing yards. The Buccaneers could do nothing with Mahomes in Week 12, as the 25-year-old superstar torched Tampa Bay for 462 yards and three touchdowns in a 27-24 victory.
But Mahomes was well below that mark in a tremendous 2020 regular season, finishing second in the NFL with 4,740 passing yards with 38 touchdowns in 15 games. That 316-yard average per game was still the best in the NFL, but that number has dropped to 290 yards per game in the postseason against playoff-caliber defenses in Cleveland and Buffalo.
SportsLine's model predicts Tampa Bay's pass defense does a stronger job of containing Mahomes' primary targets in Tyreek Hill and Travis Kelce, contributing to Mahomes being limited to 293 passing yards. That means the under for Mahomes hits by almost 40 yards, making it the clear value play on this prop.
Other Patrick Mahomes prop picks from SportsLine's model:
- Patrick Mahomes passing touchdowns: Go under 2.5, model is projecting 2.2
- Patrick Mahomes total passing attempts: Go under 41.5, model is projecting 38
- Patrick Mahomes total passing completions: Go under 28.5, model is projecting 26
- Patrick Mahomes interceptions: Go over 0.5, model is projecting 0.59
How to make 2021 Super Bowl prop bets for Buccaneers vs. Chiefs
In addition, the model is high on a Super Bowl prop bet that pays out nearly 7-1. You need to see the model's top 20 Super Bowl prop bets before making any Chiefs vs. Buccaneers picks.
Which Chiefs vs. Buccaneers prop pays almost 7-1? And what other Super Bowl LV prop bets does the model love for the big game? Visit SportsLine now to see the top Super Bowl 55 prop bets, all from the model that's up almost $7,900 on top-rated NFL picks.
