NFL Super Bowl odds 2022: Top model shares predictions, picks to win, best teams to avoid

SportsLine's model just simulated the NFL season 10,000 times and locked in its 2022 Super Bowl picks

By CBS Sports Staff

Aug 30, 2021 at 9:53 am ET • 2 min read

There is renewed optimism surrounding the Dallas Cowboys as the 2021 NFL season approaches. After watching franchise quarterback Dak Prescott go down in Week 5 last year with a season-ending ankle injury, he is back to guide what could be one of the NFC's best offenses. The Cowboys have won just three playoff games since 1996, but with Prescott, the conference's deepest receiving crew, and a rejuvenated Ezekiel Elliott, Dallas has to be considered among the top 2022 Super Bowl picks from the NFC.

The Cowboys are listed at +2800 in the latest Super Bowl odds 2022 from William Hill Sportsbook. Dallas could be able to show it can be one of the true 2022 Super Bowl contenders since it will have an offense that can trade punches with anyone. The Cowboys also heavily revamped and restocked their defense and brought in former Super Bowl-winning defensive coordinator Dan Quinn in an effort to compete with the 2022 Super Bowl favorites. Before making any 2022 Super Bowl picks based on the latest NFL odds, you need to check out the NFL predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up almost $7,900 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception six years ago. It went a sizzling 24-14 on top-rated NFL picks last season, returning more than $800. The model also enters the 2021 season on an incredible 120-78 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season. Anyone who has followed it is way up.

Now, it has set its sights on finding value in the 2022 Super Bowl odds. You can see its top NFL picks and predictions here.

Top 2022 Super Bowl predictions

After simulating the season 10,000 times, the model likes the value of the New Orleans Saints, even though they are +2500 underdogs to win the Super Bowl. If newly-minted quarterback Jameis Winston can demonstrate that a year of learning from future Hall of Famer Drew Brees and head coach Sean Payton can produce better results than what he delivered in Tampa Bay, New Orleans may maintain stability at QB.

The Saints still have top-notch weaponry on offense to support Winston or Hill. Two-time NFL receptions leader Michael Thomas will remain a prime target, while four-time Pro Bowl running back Alvin Kamara has pulled off the rare running back feat of catching 80-plus passes in four straight seasons.

Wide receiver Tre'Quan Smith and second-year tight end Adam Trautman could further fill out the passing game. New Orleans' defense led the NFL in interceptions last season with 18 and the unit also boasts superstars in linebacker Demario Davis and defensive end Cameron Jordan. The Saints cannot be ruled out as a value pick when you are reviewing the 2022 Super Bowl odds.

How to make 2022 Super Bowl picks

The model is also high on a juicy long shot in the AFC that would pay even better than the Colts (25-1). You need to see the model's analysis before making any Super Bowl 56 bets.

So which long shot provides a juicy price to win Super Bowl LVI? And what other teams provide value at their current Super Bowl 2022 odds? Check out the latest Super Bowl LVI odds below, then visit SportsLine to see the picks from the model that's up almost $7,900.