The Kansas City Chiefs and San Francisco 49ers will become the first teams to play in a Las Vegas Super Bowl when they take the field for Super Bowl 58 on Sunday at 6:30 p.m. ET. Reports indicate there could be as much as $3 billion wagered on the 2024 Super Bowl. With the widespread legalization of sports betting in the United States, bettors can wager not only the Super Bowl spread and over/under, but also a variety of Super Bowl 58 props.
What are some intriguing Super Bowl prop bets to include in building Super Bowl 58 SGP picks? Starting running backs Christian McCaffrey and Isiah Pacheco have rushed for at least one touchdown in each playoff game this postseason, so should you include them to score in 2024 Super Bowl parlay picks? Before you make any Super Bowl picks or NFL parlays, be sure to see the NFL predictions and betting advice from SportsLine's proven computer model.
The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up well over $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model enters the conference championship round of the 2024 NFL playoffs on an incredible 184-129 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season. It also is on a 38-21 roll on top-rated picks since Week 7 of last season and nailed seven straight top-rated picks entering the 2024 NFL playoffs.
The model ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past six years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94% of CBS Sports Football Pick'em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.
Now, the model has locked in eight confident NFL best bets for Super Bowl 58. If you successfully parlay its picks, you'd be looking at a massive payout of around 147-1. You can only see the model's Super Bowl NFL picks at SportsLine.
Top Super Bowl NFL picks
After simulating Super Bowl 58 10,000 times, the model predicts Chiefs tight end Travis Kelce goes over 70.5 receiving yards. He has recorded more than 70 receiving yards in all three postseason games this year and in 12 straight playoff games. Even in a down year for the Kansas City offense by their standards, the nine-time Pro Bowl tight end averaged 65.6 yards per game during the regular season and has raised that to 87.3 yards per game during the playoffs.
The 49ers have struggled against pass-catching tight ends for much of the season. They allowed 102 yards to Cardinals tight end Trey McBride in Week 15 and most recently surrendered 97 yards to Sam LaPorta in the NFC Championship Game. Both of those are athletic, young tight ends but they don't have the resume and or connection with their quarterback that Kelce and Patrick Mahomes have. You can be sure Chiefs head coach Andy Reid is spending much of these two weeks finding the vulnerabilities in the San Francisco pass defense that allowed those two tight ends to succeed and will find ways to expose it as well. The SportsLine model projects Kelce to surpass 70 yards yet again, projecting him to finish at 77 yards. See which other NFL parlay picks to make here.
How to make Super Bowl NFL parlays
The model also jumped on seven other NFL picks where it says the line is way off, including one side of the total that hits over 60% of the time. You can only see the model's NFL Super Bowl bets and parlay at SportsLine.
What are the model's top NFL Super Bowl picks? And which other NFL bets should you target for a payout that could be in the triple-digits? Visit SportsLine now to see the Super Bowl 58 best bets from a model on a 184-129 run on its top-rated picks, and find out.
