NFL odds, lines, picks, spreads, best bets, predictions, office pool, optimal survivor picks for Week 11, 2022

SportsLine's model locked in its Week 11 NFL predictions, NFL survivor picks and NFL office pool picks

By CBS Sports Staff

Nov 20, 2022 at 11:29 am ET • 4 min read

USATSI

With the Philadelphia Eagles falling to the Washington Commanders in Week 10, there are no unbeaten teams remaining. Meanwhile, the NFL playoff picture is crowded, with 26 teams still within two games of a playoff spot with just eight weeks to go. Philadelphia and Washington will have AFC South opponents to contend with on Sunday, with the Commanders favored by three over the Texans on the road and the Eagles are favored by 6.5 over the Colts in the Week 11 NFL odds from Caesars Sportsbook. Which teams can you trust to cover their NFL spreads this week? And which NFL office pool picks and NFL survivor picks should you make? All of the Week 11 NFL lines are listed below, and SportsLine's advanced computer model has all the NFL betting advice and predictions you need to make the best Week 11 NFL picks now.

The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up well over $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model enters Week 11 of the 2022 NFL season on an incredible 153-108 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season.

The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past six years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94% of CBS Sports Football Pick'em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.

Now, it has turned its attention to the latest Week 11 NFL odds and locked in picks for every NFL matchup. Head here to see every pick.

Top Week 11 NFL predictions

One of the model's strongest Week 11 NFL picks is that the Patriots (-3) cover the spread at home against the Jets. The Patriots have dominated this AFC East rivalry over the years. In fact, New England has won 13 consecutive games against the Jets.

The Patriots enter Sunday's showdown giving up just 18.4 points per game, which ranks sixth in the NFL. New England held the Jets to 17 points in the first meeting this season, a 22-17 victory on the road. The Patriots forced Jets quarterback Zach Wilson to throw three interceptions that day, and SportsLine's model expects he'll struggle again on Sunday, projecting he'll throw for fewer than 200 yards. That's a big reason why New England covers the spread well over 60% of the time, with the Over (38.5) hitting in over 50% of simulations. See which other teams to pick here.

Top Week 11 NFL survivor picks

The model's Week 11 NFL knockout pool picks say to avoid the Commanders, even though they are favorites over the Texans. Washington is in a letdown spot after picking up an upset win over Philadelphia last Monday. The Commanders took down the final remaining unbeaten team in the league, but they will be playing on short rest in this game.

Houston is at home for the third time in four weeks and quarterback Davis Mills threw for 319 yards against the Giants last week. Rookie running back Dameon Pierce has quietly been one of the most impressive first-year players in the league, rushing for 772 yards and three touchdowns on 165 carries. He is facing a Washington defense that has allowed at least 20 points in three of its last four games, so the Commanders are not a team to be trusted in Week 11 NFL survivor pool picks. See which team you should pick here.

Top Week 11 NFL office pool picks

One of the strongest Week 11 NFL football pool picks from the model is that the Ravens beat the Panthers. Fresh off a bye and riding a three-game winning streak, Baltimore is a 13-point favorite over Carolina and is likely to be one of the most popular NFL confidence pool picks and NFL office pool picks as the largest favorite.

Mark Andrews is expected to be back after a week off to bolster a Baltimore offense that ranks fourth in the NFL in scoring. Meanwhile, Baltimore hasn't allowed a single opponent to reach 350 yards of total offense in its last six games and has the No. 3 run defense in the league after allowing 92 rushing yards total in its last two wins.

That could mean tough sledding for a Carolina offense that has become dependent on running back D'Onta Foreman. The Panthers have thrown for 180 yards or fewer in six of their last eight games, and their one-dimensional nature will allow the Ravens to load up the box. That's why the model has Baltimore winning outright in well over 70% of simulations. See which other teams to pick here.

How to make Week 11 NFL picks

The model has also made the call on who wins and covers in every other game on the Week 11 NFL schedule, and it also says a Super Bowl contender goes down hard. It's also backing a shocking team in its NFL survivor picks. You can only get every pick for every game at SportsLine.

So what NFL predictions, NFL pool picks, and NFL survivor picks can you make with confidence? And which Super Bowl contender goes down hard? Check out the latest NFL odds below, then visit SportsLine to see which teams win and cover the spread, all from a proven computer model that has returned well over $7,000 since its inception, and find out.