The Los Angeles Chargers are 2-1 this season and enter the Week 4 NFL schedule as 15.5-point road favorites over the Miami Dolphins. Meanwhile, the Los Angeles Rams are 9.5-point home favorites over the Tampa Bay Buccaneers in a potential get-right spot for quarterback Jared Goff and the offense. However, those are the only two NFL spreads of more than seven points, which could make Week 4 NFL confidence pool picks a challenge. Who do you back in a battle of struggling squads when the 0-3 Broncos host the 1-2 Jaguars? And can Russell Wilson's Seahawks be trusted with a high-value pick on the road against Kyler Murray's Cardinals? In a week full of tough decisions, be sure to see the Week 4 NFL office pool picks from the proven computer model at SportsLine. They'll help you lock in optimal NFL football pool picks for Sunday and beyond.
The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up more than $7,000 for $100 players on its top-rated NFL picks since its inception four years ago. It has nailed its recent top-rated NFL picks, entering Week 4 of the 2019 NFL season on a strong 17-10 run that dates back to last season. It's also on a 79-53 roll on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season. And in Week 3, it was all over the Saints (+5) without Drew Brees covering against the Seahawks and Daniel Jones leading the Giants (+5) to the cover against the Bucs.
The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch for the third straight year on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 96 percent of CBS Sports office pool players. Anyone who has followed it is way up.
Now, the model has simulated the entire NFL Week 4 schedule 10,000 times and generated its optimal NFL pick'em plays. We can tell you the model is high on the Bears, who are beating visiting Minnesota outright in 63 percent of simulations. The Bears' offense may have laid an egg in the season-opener against the Packers, but the unit has been making gradual improvements in the two games since. Meanwhile, Chicago's defense is as disruptive as advertised.
The Bears rank third in scoring defense and are allowing conversions on just 22.9 percent of third downs because of their ability to force teams into unfavorable down-and-distances. The Bears have 11 sacks as a team and are coming off a Monday Night Football win over the Redskins in which they forced five turnovers and scored a defensive touchdown in a 31-15 win to give the entire squad a major confidence-boost. This Bears' defense proved far too much for the Vikings to handle twice last year, and the home-field advantage should be the difference for your NFL confidence pool picks.
The model also has made the call on Jaguars vs. Broncos, Redskins vs. Giants, Cowboys vs. Saints and every other NFL Week 4 game. In fact, the model says a team the public loves goes down hard. You can only see all of the model's NFL pool picks at SportsLine.
So who should you pick in every Week 4 NFL game? And which wildly popular favorite goes down hard? Visit SportsLine now to get optimal NFL office pool picks, all from the advanced computer model that beat over 96 percent of CBS Sports office pool players last year.
