Dak Prescott and the Dallas Cowboys will visit Tom Brady and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers in the final game of the NFL playoffs 2023 Wild Card round. Dallas went 12-5 this season, finishing second in the NFC East behind the Philadelphia Eagles. The Cowboys averaged 27.5 points scored per game, the fourth-best mark in the NFL. Tampa Bay, meanwhile, finished 8-9, but managed to win the NFC South despite a losing record. This could be Brady's last game in a Buccaneers uniform, depending on what the veteran decides to do in free agency. The Cowboys and Buccaneers played in Week 1, with Tampa Bay winning 19-3.
Dallas is favored by three points in the latest Cowboys vs. Buccaneers odds from Caesars Sportsbook, and the over/under is 45.5. Before making any Buccaneers vs. Cowboys picks, you need to see the NFL predictions and betting advice from the proven computer simulation model at SportsLine.
The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up well over $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model enters Super Wild Card Weekend in the 2023 NFL playoffs on an incredible 161-113 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season. It is also on a 15-6 roll on top-rated NFL picks since Week 7 of this season.
The model ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past six years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94% of CBS Sports Football Pick'em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.
Now, the model has set its sights on Cowboys vs. Buccaneers and just locked in its picks and NFL playoff predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model's picks. Here are several NFL odds and betting lines for Cowboys vs. Buccaneers:
- Cowboys vs. Buccaneers spread: Dallas -3
- Cowboys vs. Buccaneers Over-Under: 45.5 points
- Cowboys vs. Buccaneers money line: Dallas -145, Tampa Bay +122
- DAL: Cowboys are 7-1 against the spread in their last eight games following an ATS loss
- TB: Buccaneers are 4-1 ATS in their last five playoff games
- Cowboys vs. Buccaneers picks: See picks here
Why the Cowboys can cover
Dak Prescott's interception issues have been no secret. But even with those struggles, Dallas still managed to have the fourth-highest scoring average in the NFL. The Buccaneers gave up 29 touchdowns through the air in the regular season, the second-most in the NFL. With pass-catchers like CeeDee Lamb, Dalton Schultz and Michael Gallup at his disposal, Prescott should be able to take shots downfield and make sure the Cowboys consistently put sevens on the scoreboard rather than threes.
Running backs Tony Pollard and Ezekiel Elliott form one of the best rushing duos in the league. Pollard is coming off a career year, while Elliott has long been a fixture in this offense for a reason. The Cowboys averaged 135.2 yards of offense per game on the ground this season and could gash the Tampa Bay defensive front, especially if offensive coordinator Kellen Moore is wary of Prescott's turnover issues. See who to pick here.
Why the Buccaneers can cover
Receiver Russell Gage is a versatile weapon who lines up in multiple spots for Tampa Bay. Gage has plenty of speed and runs smooth routes to create separation. The LSU product has caught 51 passes for 426 yards and five touchdowns. He's gone over 50 yards in two of his last four games.
Tight end Cade Otton does an admirable job blocking and plays very physical at the point of attack. Otton runs solid routes against linebackers and owns soft hands. The Washington product reeled in 42 passes with 391 yards and two scores this season and has registered more than 60 receiving yards in three games. See who to pick here.
How to make Cowboys vs. Buccaneers picks
SportsLine's model is leaning Under the point total, projecting the teams to combine for 45 points. The model also says one side hits well over 50% of the time. You can only get the model's pick at SportsLine.
So who wins Buccaneers vs. Cowboys on NFL Super Wild Card Weekend 2023? And which side of the spread hits well over 50% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Buccaneers vs. Cowboys spread you need to jump on, all from the model on a 161-113 roll on NFL picks, and find out.
