Chargers vs. Broncos NFL props, Thursday Night Football picks, AI prediction, odds, SGP: Bo Nix over 1.5 TDs

Thursday Night Football prop picks and a TNF SGP for Los Angeles vs. Denver for sites like PrizePicks, Underdog Fantasy, and DraftKings Pick6

By CBS Sports Staff

Dec 19, 2024 at 7:17 pm ET • 3 min read

The penultimate Thursday Night Football game of the season kicks off Week 16 as the Los Angeles Chargers host the Denver Broncos (+2.5, 41.5). With injuries to the Chargers' backfield and Denver using a committee approach, NFL prop picks may focus on the passing games. Justin Herbert has relied on rookie Ladd McConkey all season, while fellow rookie Bo Nix has leaned on veteran Courtland Sutton to lessen the learning curve. What are the most intriguing Broncos vs. Chargers props? McConkey had four grabs for 43 yards in his first career game versus Denver, while Sutton has a lengthier body of work versus the Chargers. For Sutton's NFL player props, his receptions bar is 5.5, while his receiving yards over/under is 65.5 at BetMGM Sportsbook.

The wideout has gone Under both of those bars in his last six games versus the Chargers, making these alluring standalone NFL props or part of a TNF SGP. Before betting any NFL props for Thursday Night Football or entering NFL predictions on sites like PrizePicks, you need to see the Chargers vs. Broncos NFL prop predictions powered by SportsLine's AI PickBot.

Built using cutting-edge artificial intelligence and machine learning techniques by SportsLine's Data Science team, AI Predictions and AI Ratings are generated for each player prop. The AI predictions are determined by statistically learning from each player's historical data and then quantitatively evaluating the strength of the opponent's defense by assigning a numeric value out of 100 called a matchup score.

Once a prediction is formulated, the AI rating is generated using the prediction, the matchup score, and the odds of the market. SportsLine's AI PickBot has nailed 2,131 4.5- and 5-star prop picks since the start of last season. Anybody who followed those picks at their best sports betting app and betting sites was way up.

For Broncos vs. Chargers NFL betting on Thursday Night Football, the AI PickBot has evaluated the NFL player prop odds and provided Chargers vs. Broncos prop picks for every available prop market. You can only see the AI player prop predictions for Denver vs. Los Angeles here.

Top NFL player prop bets for Broncos vs. Chargers

After analyzing Chargers vs. Broncos props and examining the dozens of NFL player prop markets, the AI PickBot says Broncos quarterback Bo Nix goes Over 1.5 passing touchdowns (+126 on DraftKings). After a slow start to the year, Nix has not looked or played like a rookie since the NFL calendar flipped to October. He has 19 passing touchdowns over his last 10 games, averaging 1.9 per game. In seven of those 10 starts he's had multiple touchdown passes, including in Week 6 with he had a pair of touchdowns in his first meeting with Los Angeles.

While Nix' production has increased, the Chargers' formerly stout pass defense has declined recently. L.A. gave up just seven passing touchdowns thru its first eight games but has since allowed 12 passing scores over the last six games. Just last week, the Chargers gave up a season-high of four passing touchdowns to Baker Mayfield, and the team also allowed season highs in both completion percentage and passer rating. With a short turnaround, there's not much time to rectify those issues, which is a big reason why the AI PickBot projects Nix to sail past the Over and have 2.7 passing touchdowns in a 4-star play. See more NFL props here.