Alright, here we go. It's the last NFL mock draft of the 2019 season for me. The actual first round of the draft is going down later tonight, and I couldn't possibly be less confident with this rendition. I think there are a few facets of it that will actually play out in fairly accurate fashion, including the quarterbacks in this group dropping a lot further than people think.
I also believe we'll see a bunch of trade backs in the later part of the draft. The teams who have the late picks in the first round (Seattle, Baltimore, New England, etc.) love to move back, and there will be players falling further than people expect once we get through the first half of the round. This will be doubly true with the quarterbacks.
I'm also rolling with the Josh Rosen train in Arizona. I don't think the Cardinals see the value in Kyler Murray with the first overall pick, which means they're going to go in a different direction at No. 1. I wouldn't be surprised by a trade down at all, but I don't think there's a partner there.
Actually, finding anyone to trade up early in this draft is almost impossible. I wanted to move the Jets and Lions down but there's not a viable jump out there. I think we see tons of moves, but I don't think those moves come early. Most of the teams out there are going to be forced into playing the hand they're dealt and trying to best suss out the draft board as it heads their way.
No, I didn't forget to mock anyone that you think is a first-round pick either (ahem, D.K. Metcalf). It's just tough in this draft -- there are 25-30 guys who could go as early as No. 10, or not end up actually going in the first round of the draft. Don't be surprised by anything that happens in this draft. Thursday is going to be wild.
And you can watch all of the wildness of the 2019 NFL Draft here, with grades and analysis of all the picks and trades (if they do happen) coming during our live coverage on CBS Sports HQ from Thursday through Saturday. Download the CBS Sports app for free on mobile or connected TV device for yet another way to watch.
Round 1 - Pick 1
I'm just not buying that the Cardinals are going to take way less value on a Josh Rosen trade when he can run the Air Raid. Give me the defensive stud.
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Round 1 - Pick 2
Easy choice here for San Francisco. I kind of want Bosa to go No. 1 just to see all the options for the 49ers here instead.
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Round 1 - Pick 3
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Round 1 - Pick 4
The pressure is on Mike Mayock and Jon Gruden here, but they can't pass up Murray's talent when he falls to No. 4.
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Round 1 - Pick 5
Moving down would be fine for the Bucs, but they don't see enough to get off the option of taking White here.
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Round 1 - Pick 6
Going back and forth between Allen and Bush here for Dave Gettleman, but I think landing a coveted pass rusher would push him over the top if he was debating.
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Round 1 - Pick 7
Jags could def go with offensive line here but I love the idea of them improving their blocking and their weapons for Nick Foles in one fell swoop.
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Round 1 - Pick 8
The Lions are officially the most difficult team to mock for this year. Edge rush could be a big spot here but I'm going to give them a hog molly instead.
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Round 1 - Pick 9
Feels like an easy choice if Taylor is still on the board as the Bills badly need help on the offensive line.
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Round 1 - Pick 10
If he makes it this far, Bush should be a layup for Denver. Ignore the QB noise -- Vic Fangio defenses key on the LB position, and Bush would help in a big way.
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Round 1 - Pick 11
The Bengals could take a quarterback, but they need more infrastructure in place first and have to improve the line.
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Mock Trade from
Green Bay Packers
Round 1 - Pick 12
Green Bay's shown a willingness to move down; the Falcons have been willing to move up. Atlanta badly wants 1-2 of the top defensive lineman so they make a move here knowing Miami is lurking.
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Round 1 - Pick 13
The Dolphins want to recreate their culture and find 10-year players: Clemson or Bama guys would fit but Bradbury gives them an anchor in the middle of the line.
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Mock Trade from
Atlanta Falcons
Round 1 - Pick 14
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Round 1 - Pick 15
The Redskins SHOULDN'T take a quarterback, because they have many more issues, but I can see them thinking the only way to save their jobs is to take one.
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Round 1 - Pick 16
Love this pick from a need, fit, value perspective. Carolina has to get pass rushers.
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From
Cleveland Browns
Round 1 - Pick 17
Dave Gettleman doubles down on defensive linemen! Everyone freaks out!
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Round 1 - Pick 18
The Vikings have to get an offensive lineman with their first pick and Dillard here is a godsend.
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Round 1 - Pick 19
The heart condition is a concern, but the Titans need to get some pass rush help and Sweat here is a nice pull.
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Round 1 - Pick 20
The Steelers would love a linebacker here, but there's just no real way to trade up for one so they settle for a top corner.
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Round 1 - Pick 21
The Seahawks might trade down with both picks, but I like the idea of them getting Ferrell here as a Frank Clark replacement.
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Round 1 - Pick 22
Another team that could trade down, but instead they decide to grab a wide receiver who is capable of playing all over the field and exploding for big gains.
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Round 1 - Pick 23
The Texans have to take an offensive lineman in the first round. It's almost impossible to see them doing anything else.
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From
Chicago Bears
Round 1 - Pick 24
Long play by the Raiders with this news that Gary is hurt. They got value with Maurice Hurst last season and dip back into the Michigan well.
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Round 1 - Pick 25
Howie Roseman isn't afraid to grab a redshirt guy and Simmons is great value here.
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Round 1 - Pick 26
The Colts want big, physical humans who dominate their position. Butler is just that and has a ton of upside playing next to T.Y. Hilton.
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From
Dallas Cowboys
Round 1 - Pick 27
I'm so here for a) Jon Gruden planning to go defense and then going offense, and b) Antonio Brown AND Marquise Brown.
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Round 1 - Pick 28
They've seen a lot of success when they have a strong offensive line, so why not double down here?
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Mock Trade from
Seattle Seahawks
Round 1 - Pick 29
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From
New Orleans Saints
Round 1 - Pick 30
Going with multiple offensive players won't make the Packers fans happy, but it should -- this offense is lethal now.
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Round 1 - Pick 31
If the Rams stand pat they almost certainly need to roll with an offensive lineman here to keep things in good shape for Jared Goff moving forward.
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Mock Trade from
New England Patriots
Round 1 - Pick 32
This doesn't feel like a combo of teams that would work together, but the Patriots love to trade back and Gettleman can win the day if he comes out of the first round with two defensive linemen AND a quarterback of the future.
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