The injury-plagued Golden State Warriors will take on the Minnesota Timberwolves at 8 p.m. ET on Friday at the Target Center. Minnesota is 4-3 overall and 1-1 at home, while Golden State is 2-6 overall and 1-2 on the road. Minnesota is ranked third in the Northwest Division; Golden State is ranked fifth in the Pacific Division. Minnesota is favored by 11 points in the latest Timberwolves vs. Warriors odds, while the over-under is set at 232. Before entering any Warriors vs. Timberwolves picks, you'll want to see the NBA predictions from the model at SportsLine.
This model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times, and anyone who followed it last season saw massive returns. In fact, the model finished 300-252 on all its top-rated NBA picks. On top-rated NBA picks against the spread and on the money line alone, the model returned a whopping $4,280. Anybody who has followed it has seen huge returns.
Now, it has simulated Timberwolves vs. Warriors 10,000 times and the results are in. We can tell you that the model is leaning under, and it's also generated a point-spread pick that is hitting in well over 60 percent of simulations. You can only see the pick at SportsLine.
On Wednesday, Minnesota lost to Memphis by a decisive 137-121 margin. The Timberwolves got a solid performance out of small forward Andrew Wiggins, who had 30 points and six assists, but that wasn't enough to overcome a strong performance from Memphis. The Timberwolves do have center Karl-Anthony Towns back in the lineup after he was recently suspended two games, but will likely be without point guard Jeff Teague (illness). Point guard Shabazz Napier (hamstring), meanwhile, is listed as doubtful for Friday's matchup.
The Warriors have been decimated by injuries with Steph Curry (hand) out at least three months and Draymond Green (finger) will be out tonight as well. The good news is that offseason acquisition D'Angelo Russell (ankle) is listed as probable, perhaps giving Golden State enough of an offensive presence to stay within the Warriors vs. Timberwolves spread.
A couple defensive stats to consider for this matchup: The Timberwolves have allowed their opponents to shoot 48.1 percent from the floor on average, which is the fourth-highest shooting percentage allowed in the league. The Warriors, however, have had an even harder time: they have allowed their opponents to shoot 49 percent from the floor on average, which is the second-highest shooting percentage allowed in the league.
So who wins Warriors vs. Timberwolves? And which side of the spread is hitting well over 60 percent of the time? Visit SportsLine right now to see which side of the spread to back on Friday, all from the advanced model that has crushed its NBA picks.
