The Brooklyn Nets host the Golden State Warriors at Barclays Center on Wednesday. The Nets are 19-12 overall and 10-5 at home, while the Warriors are 15-17 after losing four of the last five games, including a defeat against the New York Knicks on Tuesday. Golden State will be shorthanded as Steph Curry (shoulder), Klay Thompson (Achilles), Andrew Wiggins (adductor) and Donte DiVincenzo (illness) are all out, while James Wiseman (thumb) is questionable.
Caesars Sportsbook lists Brooklyn as a 12.5-point home favorite, and tip-off is scheduled for 7:30 p.m. ET. The total number of points Vegas thinks will be scored, or the over/under, is 226.5 in the latest Warriors vs. Nets odds. Before you make any NBA predictions with the Nets vs. Warriors match-up, be sure to check out the NBA predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past four-plus seasons. The model enters Week 10 of the 2022-23 NBA season on a stunning 28-12 roll on all top-rated NBA picks this season, returning almost $1,400. Anyone following it has seen huge returns.
Now, the model has set its sights on Warriors vs. Nets and just locked in its picks and NBA predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model's picks. Here are several NBA odds and betting lines for Nets vs. Warriors:
- Warriors vs. Nets spread: Nets -12.5
- Warriors vs. Nets over/under: 226.5 points
- Warriors vs. Nets money line: Nets -800, Warriors +550
- GSW: The Warriors are 3-3 against the spread with no rest
- BKN: The Nets are 5-9-1 against the spread at home
- Warriors vs. Nets picks: See picks at SportsLine
Why the Warriors can cover
The Warriors pass the ball at an elite level, leading the NBA in assists. Golden State also sits atop the league in 3-pointers per game, with top-10 marks in field goal percentage and 3-point percentage. The Warriors should also benefit from Brooklyn's defensive rebounding issues, as the Nets rank second-worst in the NBA with a 68.8% defensive rebound rate. Brooklyn is also in the bottom five in free throw prevention, and the Nets have similar issues on offense.
The Nets are dead-last in the NBA with a 23.1% offensive rebound rate and No. 27 in the league with only 21.5 free throw attempts per game. Golden State forces more than 15 turnovers per game on defense, and opponents are making fewer than 47% of field goal attempts against the Warriors this season.
Why the Nets can cover
Brooklyn is led by an MVP candidate in Kevin Durant. The former MVP is averaging 30.4 points, 6.6 rebounds, and 5.3 assists per game this season while shooting 56.5% from the field. Durant is also generating 33.0 points on 61.2% shooting over the last 11 games, keying the Nets to more than 1.17 points per possession. Elsewhere, Kyrie Irving is averaging 26.1 points per game and shooting almost 60% inside the arc, with Brooklyn ranking No. 2 in the NBA in overall shooting efficiency.
On defense, the Nets are leading the league in 2-point defense (50.2%) and blocked shots (7.0 per game), and Brooklyn is in the top eight in field goal percentage allowed (45.5%) and points allowed in the paint (47.3 per game). Golden State is dead-last in the NBA in free throw attempts on offense, and the Warriors also commit the second-most turnovers in the league.
How to make Nets vs. Warriors picks
SportsLine's model is leaning Over on the total, projecting 232 combined points. The model also says one side of the spread hits in 70% of simulations. You can only see the model's pick at SportsLine.
So who wins Warriors vs. Nets? And which side of the spread hits in 70% of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the model that has crushed its NBA picks, and find out.
