The Denver Nuggets (4-3) head over to Paycom Center as they take on the Oklahoma City Thunder (4-3) in a game on Thursday evening. This is the second contest of a two-game homestand for the Thunder. On Tuesday, they beat the Orlando Magic 116-108. The Nuggets fell to the Los Angeles Lakers 121-110 on Sunday. Bones Hyland (hip) and Ish Smith (calf) are questionable for Denver.
Tip-off is scheduled for 8 p.m. ET at the Paycom Center in Oklahoma City, Okla. Caesars Sportsbook lists the Nuggets as a 6.5-point favorite in the latest Nuggets vs. Thunder odds. The over/under for total points is set at 228.5. Before making any Thunder vs. Nuggets picks, you need to see the NBA predictions and betting advice from SportsLine's advanced computer simulation model.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past four seasons. The model enters Week 3 of the 2022-23 NBA season on a stunning 97-65 roll on all top-rated NBA picks that dates back to last season, returning more than $2,400. Anyone following it has seen huge returns.
Now, the model has set its sights on Nuggets vs. Thunder and just locked in its picks and NBA predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model's picks. Now, here are several NBA odds, betting lines, and trends for Thunder vs. Nuggets:
- Nuggets vs. Thunder spread: Nuggets -6.5
- Nuggets vs. Thunder Over-Under: 228.5 points
- Nuggets vs. Thunder money line: Denver -240, Oklahoma City +196
- DEN: Nuggets are 0-3 ATS as a road favorite
- OKC: Thunder are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall
- Nuggets vs. Thunder picks: See picks at SportsLine
Why the Nuggets can cover
Forward Michael Porter Jr. is an instinctive and talented scorer who has the ability to handle the rock with ease and find a way to score. The Missouri product owns a high release point that makes it difficult for defenders to contest. Porter Jr. also isn't afraid to attack the glass. He's second on the team in scoring (18.5) and rebounds (7.5).
Forward Aaron Gordon is an explosive and high-flying threat in the frontcourt. Gordon can glide to the rim and finish with force as the Arizona product does a great job at filling the lane and getting easy looks at the rim. Gordon is always hustling and playing with high energy. He's racking up 13.7 points and 6.4 rebounds per game.
Why the Thunder can cover
Guard Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is a well-rounded floor general for this ball club. Gilgeous-Alexander has excellent length and size in the backcourt with the tools to carve his man. The 2018 first-round pick has been outstanding one-on-one with the ball control to find the open man. He's cooking up, averaging 31.5 points, 4.8 rebounds, and 6.8 assists per contest, and in his last outing, he racked up 34 points, four rebounds, and six assists.
Forward Luguentz Dort provides Oklahoma City with an athletic, impactful wing. Dort has a long wingspan that allows him to swarm the ball carrier or get his hands into the passing lane. The Arizona State product has a quick first step and does a nice job at attacking the lane. He logs 14 points and 3.9 rebounds per game.
How to make Nuggets vs. Thunder picks
SportsLine's model is leaning Under on the total, projecting the teams to combine for 227 points. The model also says one side of the spread hits in 60% of simulations. You can only get the pick at SportsLine.
So who wins Thunder vs. Nuggets? And which side of the spread hits in 60% of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to find out which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the model that has crushed its NBA picks, and find out.
