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The San Antonio Spurs host the New York Knicks on Thursday evening. The Knicks are 18-17 overall after four straight losses, while the Spurs enter at 11-23 overall and 6-12 at home. Jalen Brunson (hip) is listed as questionable for the Knicks, with RJ Barrett (finger) and Obi Toppin (fibula) ruled out. Devin Vassell (knee) is listed as out for the Spurs.

Caesars Sportsbook lists the Knicks as 5-point road favorites, and tip-off is scheduled for 8 p.m. ET. The total number of points Vegas thinks will be scored, or the over/under, is 224.5 in the latest Knicks vs. Spurs odds. Before you make any NBA predictions with the Spurs vs. Knicks match-up, be sure to see the NBA predictions and betting advice from SportsLine's proven model. 

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past four-plus seasons. The model enters Week 11 of the 2022-23 NBA season on a stunning 33-13 roll on all top-rated NBA picks this season, returning almost $1,800. Anyone following it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Knicks vs. Spurs and just locked in its picks and NBA predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model's picks. Now, here are several NBA betting lines and trends for Spurs vs. Knicks:

  • Knicks vs. Spurs spread: Knicks -5
  • Knicks vs. Spurs over/under: 224.5 points
  • Knicks vs. Spurs money line: Knicks -205, Spurs +170
  • NYK: The Knicks are 2-3 against the spread in the last five games
  • SAS: The Spurs are 2-3 against the spread in the last five games
  • Knicks vs. Spurs picks: See picks at SportsLine

Why the Knicks can cover

New York projects to take advantage of San Antonio's weaknesses as the Spurs are dead-last in the NBA in defensive rating, giving up almost 1.19 points per possession. San Antonio is also last in field goal percentage allowed (50.4%) and assists allowed (26.9 per game), with middling marks across the board.

On defense, the Knicks are strong in their own right, giving up only 112.1 points per 100 possessions, and New York is in the top five in field goal percentage allowed, 3-point percentage allowed, and points allowed in the paint. San Antonio is No. 28 in offensive rating, No. 29 in free throw accuracy, and in the bottom five of the league in turnovers per game.

Why the Spurs can cover

San Antonio's offense functions well on the margins. The Spurs are in the top five of the NBA in assists, averaging 27.1 per game, and San Antonio is in the top eight of the league in offensive rebound rate (30.3%) and second-chance points (15.5 per game). San Antonio is also in the top ten in points in the paint (53.5 per game) and fast break points (15.0 per game) on offense this season. 

On the other end, the Spurs are very strong in free throw prevention, yielding 22.6 attempts per game, and San Antonio is above-average in turnovers created (15.0 per game) and steals (7.4 per game). New York is No. 24 in the NBA in field goal percentage, No. 25 in the NBA in 3-point percentage, and No. 23 in the NBA in assists.

How to make Spurs vs. Knicks picks

SportsLine's model is leaning Over on the total, projecting 230 combined points. The model also says one side of the spread hits in over 50% of simulations. You can only see the model's pick at SportsLine.

So who wins Knicks vs. Spurs? And which side of the spread hits in over 50% of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the model that has crushed its NBA picks, and find out.