The Toronto Raptors host the New York Knicks in a Sunday afternoon matchup between Eastern Conference foes. The Raptors are 8-10 at home this season and 15-17 overall. The Knicks, meanwhile, are 17-19 this season, though New York is 10-8 in road games. Goran Dragic (not with team) is out for the Raptors, with Scottie Barnes (knee) listed as probable. Kemba Walker (knee), Derrick Rose (ankle), Danuel House (finger), Julius Randle (protocols), Nerlens Noel (protocols) and Mitchell Robinson (protocols) are out for the Knicks, with Evan Fournier (ankle) listed as questionable.
Tip-off is at 3:30 p.m. ET in Toronto. Caesars Sportsbook lists the Raptors as eight-point home favorites, while the over-under, or total number of points Vegas thinks will be scored, is 206.5 in the latest Knicks vs. Raptors odds. Before you make any Raptors vs. Knicks picks, be sure to see the NBA predictions and betting advice from SportsLine's proven computer model.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit on its top-rated NBA picks over the past three-plus seasons. The model enters Week 11 of the 2021-22 NBA season on a stunning 48-24 roll on all top-rated NBA picks, returning almost $2,000. Anyone following it has seen huge returns.
Now, the model has set its sights on Knicks vs. Raptors and revealed its picks and NBA predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model's picks. Here are several NBA odds and betting lines for Raptors vs. Knicks:
- Knicks vs. Raptors spread: Raptors -8
- Knicks vs. Raptors over-under: 206.5 points
- Knicks vs. Raptors money line: Raptors -360, Knicks +285
- NYK: The Knicks are 10-8 against the spread in road games
- TOR: The Raptors are 8-10 against the spread in home games
Why the Knicks can cover
New York's principle strength is its ability to contest shots. The Knicks are in the top three of the NBA in field goal percentage allowed (43.7 percent) and two-point percentage allowed (50.3 percent), with the No. 3 mark in points allowed in the paint at only 41.9 per game. New York is also in the top 10 of the NBA in free throw attempts allowed (19.9 per game), second-chance points allowed (12.3 per game) and blocked shots (5.3 per game). Toronto is No. 24 in the NBA in field goal percentage on offense and No. 27 in both free throw attempts and assists.
On the other end, New York is excellent on the offensive glass, securing 28 percent of missed shots and averaging 14.3 second-chance points per game. The Knicks are above-average in 3-point accuracy (35.6 percent) and free throw attempts (21.0 per game), and New York commits only 13.4 turnovers per contest this season.
Why the Raptors can cover
Toronto's defense has elite traits and New York's offense struggles mightily in a few key areas. The Raptors create the second-most turnovers in the NBA, forcing 16.0 giveaways per game, and that includes 9.1 steals per contest, No. 3 in the league. Toronto is also in the top five of the NBA in points allowed in paint (42.9 per game) and fast break points allowed (10.6 per game). New York is just No. 26 in the NBA in field goal percentage and No. 27 in the NBA in two-point percentage on offense, and the Knicks produce the second-fewest assists per game in the NBA.
On the opposite end, the Raptors are above-average, scoring nearly 1.1 points per possession, and New York is No. 27 in the NBA in creating turnovers on defense. Toronto also swings the math in its favor with a 32.0 percent offensive rebound rate and 16.0 second-chance points per contest.
How to make Raptors vs. Knicks picks
SportsLine's model is leaning under on the total, projecting the teams to combine for 203 points. The model also says one side of the spread hits in well over 50 percent of simulations. You can only get the model's NBA picks at SportsLine.
So who wins Knicks vs. Raptors? And which side of the spread hits in well over 50 percent of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the model that has crushed its NBA picks, and find out.
