Madison Square Garden showcases a rivalry matchup on Wednesday evening. The New York Knicks host the Atlanta Hawks, with the Hawks winning the first matchup between the teams this season. The Knicks are 11-13 overall, while the Hawks enter at 13-11 despite four losses in the last six games. John Collins (ankle), De'Andre Hunter (hip), and Trent Forrest (concussion) are out for Atlanta, with Ryan Arcidiacono (ankle) ruled out for New York.
Tip-off is at 7:30 p.m. ET in New York. Caesars Sportsbook lists the Knicks as 1.5-point home favorites, while the over/under, or total number of points Vegas thinks will be scored, is 232.5 in the latest Hawks vs. Knicks odds. Before you make any Knicks vs. Hawks picks, you need to see the NBA predictions and betting advice from SportsLine's advanced computer model.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past four-plus seasons. The model enters Week 8 of the 2022-23 NBA season on a stunning 111-70 roll on all top-rated NBA picks that dates back to last season, returning more than $3,000. Anyone following it has seen huge returns.
Now, the model has set its sights on Hawks vs. Knicks and just locked in its picks and NBA predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model's picks. Now, here are several NBA odds and betting lines and trends for Knicks vs. Hawks:
- Hawks vs. Knicks spread: Knicks -1.5
- Hawks vs. Knicks over/under: 232.5 points
- Hawks vs. Knicks money line: Knicks -125, Hawks +105
- ATL: The Hawks are 10-13-1 against the spread this season
- NYK: The Knicks are 10-12-2 against the spread this season
- Hawks vs. Knicks picks: See picks here
Why the Hawks can cover
The Hawks are playing well on defense this season, ranking in the top 10 of the NBA in allowing fewer than 1.11 points per possession. Atlanta is No. 3 in the league in 3-point defense at 33.0%, and the Knicks are dead-last in 3-point accuracy (31.3%) on offense. New York is also below-average in assists (23.5 per game), with the Hawks ranking in the top 10 in assist prevention on defense (24.1 per game).
On the other end, Atlanta's guards are electric, with Trae Young averaging 27.6 points and 9.6 assists per game and Dejounte Murray generating 21.5 points, 6.5 assists, and 5.7 rebounds per contest. The Hawks are No. 1 in the NBA in ball security, committing a turnover on only 13.0% of possessions, and Atlanta is above-average in free throw shooting (82.0%) and offensive rebound rate (29.0%).
Why the Knicks can cover
New York is well-coached on defense, with the No. 7 mark in the NBA in shooting efficiency allowed. The Knicks are No. 3 in the league in field goal accuracy allowed (45.1%), with above-average marks against 2-point attempts (52.8%) and 3-point attempts (35.1%). New York is in the top five in points allowed in the paint (47.0 per game), and Atlanta is in the bottom five of the NBA in 3-point accuracy (32.7%) and free throw creation (21.3 attempts per game).
On offense, the Knicks have three players averaging at least 18 points per game, and New York is scoring 111.5 points per 100 possessions. New York is in the top six of the NBA in offensive rebound rate (31.1%), second-chance points (16.9 per game), and points in the paint (56.8 per game), with top-eight marks in turnover rate (13.8%) and free throw attempts (24.8 per game). Atlanta struggles to prevent free throw attempts on defense, yielding 25.4 per game this season.
How to make Hawks vs. Knicks picks
SportsLine's model is leaning Over on the point total, projecting 236 combined points. The model also says one side of the spread hits in almost 60% of simulations. You can only see the model's picks at SportsLine.
So who wins Knicks vs. Hawks? And which side of the spread hits in almost 60% of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Hawks vs. Knicks spread you need to jump on Wednesday, all from the model that has crushed its NBA picks, and find out.
