Central Division rivals square off at Fiserv Forum on Wednesday evening. The Chicago Bulls visit the Milwaukee Bucks for the fourth and final matchup between the teams this season. The Bulls are 17-22 on the road and coming off a home loss against Atlanta on Tuesday. The Bucks are 31-8 at home this season, and Milwaukee travels back home after a quick road trip to the nation's capital on Tuesday. Grayson Allen (ankle) and Pat Connaughton (ankle) are out for Milwaukee, while Alex Caruso (foot) is out for Chicago.
Caesars Sportsbook lists Milwaukee as a 7.5-point favorite, and tip-off is scheduled for 7:30 p.m. ET. The total number of points Vegas thinks will be scored, or the over/under, is 231.5 in the latest Bulls vs. Bucks odds. Before you make any Bucks vs. Bulls picks, you'll want to see the NBA predictions and betting advice from the proven computer model at SportsLine.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past four-plus seasons. The model enters the final week of the 2022-23 NBA regular season a stunning 71-36 on all top-rated NBA picks this season, returning more than $3,000. Anyone following it has seen huge returns.
Now, the model has set its sights on Bulls vs. Bucks and just locked in its picks and NBA predictions. You can visit SportsLine now to see the model's picks. Here are the NBA lines and trends for Bucks vs. Bulls:
- Bulls vs. Bucks spread: Bucks -7.5
- Bulls vs. Bucks over/under: 231.5 points
- Bulls vs. Bucks money line: Bucks -320, Bulls +250
- CHI: The Bulls are 6-7-1 against the spread with no rest
- MIL: The Bucks are 9-2-1 against the spread with no rest
- Bulls vs. Bucks picks: See picks at SportsLine
Why the Bulls can cover
Though Milwaukee has an impressive season-long profile, Chicago has the edge in the season series to this point. The Bulls also have clearly positive attributes on both offense and defense. Chicago is in the top five of the NBA in field goal percentage (49%) and free throw percentage (81%) on offense, with the Bulls committing a turnover on fewer than 14% of possessions. Milwaukee is the worst team in the NBA in creating turnovers on defense, including a bottom-five mark in steals.
On the other end, the Bulls are firmly in the top 10 of the NBA in defensive rating, and Chicago has top-10 marks in myriad categories. That includes field goal percentage allowed, free throw attempts allowed, turnovers created, points allowed in the paint, fast break point allowed, and steals per game. Milwaukee is in the bottom five of the NBA in free throw percentage on offense, and the Bucks struggle to a below-average mark in ball security.
Why the Bucks can cover
The Bucks are fantastic on defense this season. Milwaukee has great size, and the Bucks are allowing fewer than 1.11 points per possession to rank in the top five of the NBA. The Bucks also hold opponents to 45% shooting from the field with a league-best mark in 2-point percentage allowed. Milwaukee gives up just over 21 free throw attempts per game, a top-three figure, and the Bucks secure 74% of available defensive rebounds.
Strengthening Milwaukee's defensive approach is the weakness of Chicago's offense, as the Bulls are scoring only 1.13 points per possession. That ranks in the bottom third of the NBA, and the Bulls are dead-last in 3-pointers per game. Chicago also secures only 24% of missed shots on the glass, ranking in the bottom five of the league, and the Bulls are also well below the league average in free throw creation. From there, the Bucks are dominant at home, posting a 15-3 mark in the last 18 games at Fiserv Forum.
How to make Bucks vs. Bulls picks
SportsLine's model is leaning Over on the total, projecting the teams to combine for 232 points. The model also says one side of the spread hits in well over 50% of simulations. You can only get the pick at SportsLine.
So who wins Bulls vs. Bucks? And which side of the spread hits well over 50% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to find out which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the model that has crushed its NBA picks, and find out.
