The NASCAR Cup Series season is in its final stretch as the action returns to Michigan International Speedway for the 2024 FireKeepers Casino 400 on Sunday. Michigan has hosted NASCAR events since 1969, and Ford drivers have been regular winners on the two-mile oval over the decades. That includes Chris Buescher, who took the checkered flag there last season. Buescher is in desperate need of a victory at the FireKeepers Casino 400 2024, too, since he is a few points out of a playoff spot. The green flag drops on this 200-lap race at 2:30 p.m. ET on Sunday. Denny Hamlin and Kyle Larson are 6-1 co-favorites in the 2024 NASCAR at Michigan odds, while Buescher is a 15-1 long shot to defend his title.
Before making any 2024 NASCAR at Michigan predictions, entering any NASCAR DFS lineups on sites like DraftKings and FanDuel, or locking in NASCAR props on sites like PrizePicks, Sleeper Fantasy, and Underdog Fantasy, be sure to see the latest 2024 FireKeepers Casino 400 picks from SportsLine's proven projection model.
Developed by daily Fantasy pro and SportsLine predictive data engineer Mike McClure, this proprietary NASCAR prediction model simulates every race 10,000 times, taking into account factors such as track history and recent results.
It called its first winner of the 2024 season with Kyle Larson in Las Vegas for a 21-5 payout and predicted Denny Hamlin's wins in Bristol at 5-1 and Richmond at 17-4. It also impressively nailed five of Larson's wins during his historic season in 2021. All told, the model has nailed a whopping 18 winners since 2021, including nine last year and three in the first seven races this season. Anyone who followed its lead on those NASCAR picks saw huge returns.
Now, the model simulated the 2024 FireKeepers Casino 400 10,000 times. Head to SportsLine to see the complete projected NASCAR at Michigan leaderboard.
Top 2024 FireKeepers Casino 400 predictions
For the second 2024 NASCAR at Michigan race, the model is high on Ty Gibbs, even though he's a 15-1 longshot in the latest 2024 FireKeepers Casino 400 odds. He's a target for anyone looking for a huge payday. The 21-year-old had his first career top-10 finish at Michigan in 2022, and he appears ready to have another strong showing there this weekend.
Gibbs is also having a strong season, posting top-5 finishes in five races in 2024. He is currently in a playoff spot, and a win on Sunday would go a long way to furthering his Cup Series run. His current form and past finishes at Michigan make it clear why the model is high on Gibbs to contend for the checkered flag at the 2024 FireKeepers Casino 400.
Another massive shocker: Tyler Reddick, one of the Vegas favorites at 7-1, fails to crack the top 10. There are far better values in the 2024 NASCAR Michigan starting lineup. Reddick is surging and he's up to second in the NASCAR standings after a third-place finish in Richmond, his sixth finish of sixth or better in a row.
However, Michigan International Speedway has been a disaster for the young star throughout his NASCAR Cup Series career. He's never finished better than 18th in Michigan and he's finished outside the top 20 in each of his last four Cup starts there. See which other drivers to avoid and the rest of the projected NASCAR leaderboard at SportsLine.
How to make 2024 NASCAR at Michigan picks
The model is also targeting three other drivers with 2024 FireKeepers Casino 400 odds of 15-1 or longer to make a serious run at the checkered flag. Anyone who backs these drivers could hit it big. You can see all of the model's Michigan NASCAR picks, props, and projected leaderboard over at SportsLine.
So who wins the 2024 FireKeepers Casino 400, and which longshots are must-backs for NASCAR prop bets? Check out the latest 2024 NASCAR at Michigan odds below, then visit SportsLine now to see the full projected 2024 NASCAR at Michigan leaderboard, all from the model that has nailed 18 winners, including three already this year.
2024 FireKeepers Casino 400 odds, drivers, lineup
See the full NASCAR at Michigan picks at SportsLine.
Denny Hamlin 6-1
Kyle Larson 6-1
Ryan Blaney 13-2
Tyler Reddick 7-1
Brad Keselowski 9-1
Christopher Bell 10-1
Joey Logano 10-1
Martin Truex Jr. 10-1
William Byron 15-1
Chris Buescher 15-1
Ty Gibbs 15-1
Chase Elliott 15-1
Bubba Wallace 22-1
Alex Bowman 33-1
Kyle Busch 40-1
Ross Chastain 40-1
Daniel Suarez 50-1
Josh Berry 100-1
Noah Gragson 100-1
Erik Jones 125-1
Austin Cindric 125-1
Carson Hocevar 150-1
Austin Dillon 175-1
Todd Gilliland 200-1
Chase Briscoe 200-1
Michael McDowell 250-1
Ricky Stenhouse Jr. 350-1
Justin Haley 350-1
Zane Smith 500-1
Corey Lajoie 500-1
AJ Allmendinger 500-1
Ryan Preece 500-1
John Hunter Nemechek 500-1
Harrison Burton 2000-1
Daniel Hemric 2000-1
Cody Ware 5000-1
