The 2021 Explore the Pocono Mountains 350 promises plenty of excitement for NASCAR fans everywhere on Sunday. On Saturday, Alex Bowman claimed the checkered flag after Kyle Larson suffered a flat tire on the final lap to lose the lead. Now, Bowman will look to go back-to-back at Pocono Raceway when the 2021 Explore the Pocono Mountains 350 gets underway at 3:30 p.m. ET.
Bowman is listed at 13-1 in the latest 2021 Explore the Pocono Mountains 350 odds, while Larson is going off as the 9-4 favorite. Meanwhile, Denny Hamlin (15-2), Kyle Busch (6-1), William Byron (8-1) and Chase Elliott (10-1) are the only other drivers fetching 10-1 NASCAR odds or shorter. Before scouring the 2021 Explore the Pocono Mountains 350 starting lineup and making any NASCAR at Pocono predictions, be sure to see the latest 2021 Explore the Pocono Mountains 350 picks from SportsLine's proven projection model.
Developed by daily Fantasy pro and SportsLine predictive data engineer Mike McClure, this proprietary NASCAR prediction model simulates every race 10,000 times, taking into account factors such as track history and recent results.
The model began the 2020 season paying out big by picking Denny Hamlin to win his second consecutive Daytona 500 at 10-1. The model also called Kevin Harvick's win at Atlanta and nailed a whopping nine top-10 finishers in that race. McClure then used the model to lock in a 10-1 bet on Hamlin for his win at Miami.
At The Brickyard, the model called Harvick's fourth victory of the season. Then during the 2020 NASCAR Playoffs, the model nailed its NASCAR picks in back-to-back races, calling Denny Hamlin to win at 17-2 at Talladega and Chase Elliott to win at 7-2 at the Charlotte Roval.
In the 2021 season, the model has correctly predicted at least seven top-10 finishers in seven of the last 14 races. In April, McClure nailed Martin Truex Jr. to win at Martinsville for a strong 3-1 payout. The model also nailed Kyle Larson winning the NASCAR All-Star Race at 5-2 and hit Larson again at the Ally 400 for another 5-2 payout. Anyone who has followed its lead on those plays has seen huge returns.
Now, the model simulated the 2021 Explore the Pocono Mountains 350 10,000 times. Head to SportsLine to see the complete projected NASCAR at Pocono leaderboard.
Top 2021 Explore the Pocono Mountains 350 predictions
One surprise: the model is high on Martin Truex, Jr., even though he's a 16-1 long shot in the latest NASCAR at Pocono odds 2021. He's a target for anyone looking for a huge payday. Truex is one of only three drivers with multiple wins this season, joining Larson and Bowman.
The 40-year-old has also had plenty of success at Pocono Raceway throughout his career, finishing in the top 10 in six of his last nine starts, which includes a first place finish in 2018. His recent history at Pocono shows he has the ability to climb the 2021 NASCAR at Pocono leaderboard quickly, so confidently lock him in at a 15-1 discount Sunday afternoon.
And a massive shocker: William Byron, one of the Vegas favorites at 8-1, stumbles and doesn't even crack the top five. Byron is coming off a strong third-place showing in Saturday's race, his third consecutive top-10 finish.
Despite securing a top-10 finish in four of his last five starts on the NASCAR Cup Series, Byron has just one win in 18 starts this season. In addition, Byron has never claimed the checkered flag at Pocono Raceway. He's not a strong pick to win it all and there are far better values in the 2021 Explore the Pocono Mountains 350 starting lineup.
How to make 2021 NASCAR at Pocono picks
The model is also targeting two other drivers with 2021 NASCAR at Pocono odds longer than 15-1 or longer to make a serious run at winning it all. It also sees value in a massive long shot who's fetching 100-1 odds. Anyone who backs these drivers could hit it big. You can see all of the model's NASCAR picks over at SportsLine.
So who wins the Explore the Pocono Mountains 350 2021? And which massive triple-digit long shot is a shocking value this week? Check out the latest 2021 NASCAR at Pocono odds below, then visit SportsLine now to see the full projected 2021 Explore the Pocono Mountains 350 leaderboard, all from the model that has nailed Kyle Larson's wins the last two weeks.
2021 Explore the Pocono Mountains 350 odds
Kyle Larson 9-4
Kyle Busch 6-1
Denny Hamlin 15-2
William Byron 8-1
Chase Elliott 10-1
Kevin Harvick 12-1
Alex Bowman 13-1
Brad Keselowski 15-1
Martin Truex Jr 16-1
Ryan Blaney 18-1
Joey Logano 20-1
Kurt Busch 35-1
Christopher Bell 40-1
Tyler Reddick 50-1
Aric Almirola 66-1
Ross Chastain 66-1
Chris Buescher 100-1
Matt DiBenedetto 100-1
Austin Dillon 100-1
Ricky Stenhouse Jr. 100-1
Erik Jones 125-1
Daniel Suarez 125-1
Bubba Wallace 200-1
Chase Briscoe 250-1
Cole Custer 250-1
Michael McDowell 250-1
Ryan Newman 250-1
Ryan Preece 500-1
Corey LaJoie 750-1
Anthony Alfredo 1000-1
Josh Bilicki 1500-1
James Davison 1500-1
Justin Haley 1500-1
Timmy Hill 1500-1
Quin Houff 1500-1
BJ McLeod 1500-1
Garrett Smithley 1500-1
Cody Ware 1500-1
