The Arizona Diamondbacks aim to continue their positive momentum on Friday evening. The Diamondbacks upended the Philadelphia Phillies in Game 3 of the NLCS on Thursday, winning by a 2-1 margin. Arizona hosts Game 4 at Chase Field and aims to tie this 2023 MLB playoffs series at 2-2. Joe Mantiply takes the ball at the outset for Arizona, with Philadelphia countering with Cristopher Sanchez on the mound.
First pitch is scheduled for 8:07 p.m. ET. SportsLine consensus lists Philadelphia as -133 money line favorites (risk $133 to win $100) in the latest Phillies vs. Diamondbacks odds. The total number of runs Vegas thinks will be scored, or the over/under, is 9.5. Before locking in any Diamondbacks vs. Phillies picks, be sure to check out the latest MLB predictions and betting advice from the SportsLine Projection Model.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every MLB game 10,000 times. It went 331-285 on top-rated MLB money-line picks (+357) over the past two seasons. It entered the NLCS and ALCS of the 2023 MLB playoffs 93-74 on all top-rated MLB picks this season and has excelled on top-rated run-line picks, going 18-6 (+766). Anybody following has seen big returns.
Now, the model has set its sights on Phillies vs. Diamondbacks and just locked in its picks and MLB predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model's picks. Here are several MLB betting lines and trends for Diamondbacks vs. Phillies:
- Phillies vs. Diamondbacks money line: Phillies -133, DBacks +113
- Phillies vs. Diamondbacks over/under: 9.5 runs
- Phillies vs. Diamondbacks run line: Phillies -1.5 (+120)
- Philadelphia: The Phillies are 42-41 in road games this year
- Arizona: The Diamondbacks are 45-38 in home games this year
- Phillies vs. Diamondbacks picks: See picks at SportsLine
Why you should back the Phillies
The Phillies scored 50 more runs than the Diamondbacks during the regular season, and Philadelphia finished in the top three of the NL with 220 home runs, 141 stolen bases, and a .765 OPS. The Phillies have been even better on offense under the postseason lights, producing 47 runs in nine games and leading MLB with an .883 OPS. Philadelphia's powerful lineup has produced 19 home runs and 20 doubles, and Trea Turner leads all NL players with a 1.408 OPS in the playoffs. Turner has three home runs, five doubles, and four stolen bases, and he is flanked by Nick Castellanos, who leads all NL players with five home runs.
Castellanos has a 1.205 OPS in the 2023 MLB playoffs, and Bryce Harper is arguably the most dangerous Philadelphia hitter. Harper, a two-time NL MVP, hit 16 home runs in the final 53 regular season games, and he has a 1.324 OPS with four home runs in the playoffs. Harper also has 11 walks and 11 runs scored in only nine playoff games. See which team to back here.
Why you should back the Diamondbacks
Arizona is facing a first-time playoff starter in Sanchez, and he has allowed five earned runs in only 1.2 career innings against the Diamondbacks. The Diamondbacks showcased their team speed and athleticism in Game 3, and Arizona was in the top two of the NL with 144 triples and 166 stolen bases this season. Ketel Marte produced the walk-off hit in the Game 3 win, and he has six extra-base hits in eight playoff games. Marte is also hitting .371 in the playoffs, with a stellar .657 slugging percentage to boot.
He is joined by breakout star Corbin Carroll, who became the first rookie in MLB history with at least 25 home runs and 50 stolen bases in a season. Carroll has a .286/.412/.536 slash line in playoff action, with six stolen bases and two home runs. Arizona will be heavily reliant on its bullpen in Game 4, but Diamondbacks relievers have combined for a 3.41 ERA in the playoffs with 27 strikeouts in 29 innings of work through three series. See which team to back here.
How to make Diamondbacks vs. Phillies picks
SportsLine's model is leaning Over on the total, projecting 9.7 combined runs. It also says one side on the money line has all the value. You can only get the model's MLB picks at SportsLine.
So who wins Phillies vs. Diamondbacks, and which side of the money line has all the value? Visit SportsLine now to see which side you need to jump on, all from the model that has gone 93-74 on its top-rated MLB picks, and find out.
