Jon Rahm enters the 2023 WM Phoenix Open ranked first in the FedExCup standings after securing two victories and four consecutive top-10 finishes. He finished on top of the leaderboard at the Sentry Tournament of Champions and the American Express, and he's coming off a T-7 showing at the Farmers Insurance Open in January. Rahm will certainly be among the top 2023 WM Phoenix Open contenders when play gets underway from TPC Scottsdale on Thursday, Feb. 9.
Rahm, the No. 3 ranked player in the world, is listed at 17-2 in the 2023 WM Phoenix Open odds. Rory McIlroy is the 8-1 favorite, with Xander Schauffele (14-1), Scottie Scheffler (15-1), Tony Finau (18-1) and Collin Morikawa (18-1) next in line on the PGA odds board. Before locking in your 2023 WM Phoenix Open picks, be sure to see the golf predictions and projected leaderboard from the proven computer model at SportsLine.
SportsLine's proprietary model, built by DFS pro Mike McClure, has been red-hot since the PGA Tour resumed in June of 2020. In fact, the model is up over $8,600 on its best bets since the restart, nailing tournament after tournament.
McClure's model predicted Jon Rahm to finish on top of the leaderboard at the 2023 Sentry Tournament of Champions and The American Express. The model also included J.T. Poston in its best bets to win the 2022 John Deere Classic. That bet hit at +5500, and for the entire tournament, McClure's best bets returned almost $1,100. At the 2022 Masters, McClure's model was all over Scottie Scheffler's first career major championship victory heading into the weekend.
In addition, McClure's best bets included Collin Morikawa winning outright at the 2021 Open Championship, even though he was listed as a massive 40-1 long shot. The model was also all over Jon Rahm's (10-1) first career major championship victory at the 2021 U.S. Open. Rahm was two strokes off the lead heading into the weekend, but the model still projected him as the winner.
This same model has also nailed a whopping eight majors entering the weekend. Anyone who has followed it has seen massive returns.
Now that the 2023 WM Phoenix Open field is locked, SportsLine simulated the tournament 10,000 times, and the results were surprising. Head to SportsLine now to see the projected leaderboard.
Top 2023 WM Phoenix Open predictions
One major surprise the model is calling for at the WM Phoenix Open 2023: Xander Schauffele, a seven-time PGA Tour champion and one of the top favorites, stumbles this week and doesn't even crack the top-five. Schauffele has had success at the WM Phoenix Open in recent years, finishing inside the top-10 in three of his last four starts.
However, Schauffele has struggled mightily with his driving accuracy percentage (55.87%) this season, ranking 138th on the PGA Tour. In addition, the 29-year-old ranks 75th in strokes gained: off-the-tee (.212), 67th in total putting (184.7) and 92nd in one-putt percentage (39.74%), which doesn't bode well for his chances to finish on top of the leaderboard this week. He's not a strong pick to win it all and there are far better values in the WM Phoenix Open 2023 field.
Another surprise: Max Homa, a 21-1 longshot, makes a strong run at the title. It's hard to find many holes in Homa's golf game right now. In fact, Homa enters this week's event ranked inside the top-15 in scoring average (69.485), strokes gained: approach to green (.956) and putting average (1.691). His ability to consistently drain putts has allowed Homa to average 5.25 birdies per round this season, the sixth-best mark on the PGA Tour.
Homa also ranks fifth in strokes gained: total (2.346) and 19th in one-putt percentage (43.06%), which has helped him claim two victories on the PGA Tour already this season. Those impressive stats, plus his long odds, make Homa a strong play for your 2023 WM Phoenix Open bets. See who else to pick here.
How to make 2023 WM Phoenix Open picks
The model is also targeting three other golfers with odds of 21-1 or longer who will make surprising runs. Anyone who backs these longshots could hit it big. You can only see the model's PGA picks here.
So who will win the WM Phoenix Open 2023? And which longshots stun the golfing world? Check out the 2023 WM Phoenix Open odds below and then visit SportsLine to see the projected 2023 WM Phoenix Open leaderboard, all from the model that's nailed eight golf majors, including last year's Masters.
2023 WM Phoenix Open odds, field
See full the WM Phoenix Open 2023 picks, best bets, and predictions here.
Rory McIlroy +800
Jon Rahm +850
Xander Schauffele +1400
Scottie Scheffler +1500
Tony Finau +1800
Collin Morikawa +1800
Patrick Cantlay +2100
Justin Thomas +2100
Max Homa +2100
Sungjae Im +2700
Viktor Hovland +2700
Hideki Matsuyama +2800
Tom Kim +2800
Cameron Young +2900
Jordan Spieth +3100
Matthew Fitzpatrick +3700
Sam Burns +4200
Sahith Theegala +4500
Tyrrell Hatton +5000
Shane Lowry +5000
Tommy Fleetwood +5500
Rickie Fowler +6000
Billy Horschel +6000
Taylor Montgomery +6000
Keegan Bradley +6000
Alex Noren +6500
Si Woo Kim +7500
Corey Conners +7500
Jason Day +7500
Seamus Power +8500
Russell Henley +8500
Aaron Wise +8500
K.H. Lee +9500
Tom Hoge +9500
Lucas Herbert +9500
Maverick Mcnealy +9500
Keith Mitchell +9500
Chris Kirk +10000
Brian Harman +10000
Taylor Pendrith +10000
J.T. Poston +10000
Gary Woodland +10000
Denny McCarthy +10000
J.J. Spaun +11000
Kurt Kitayama +11000
Matt Kuchar +12000
Brendan Steele +12000
Andrew Putnam +12000
Brendon Todd +14000
Davis Thompson +14000
Christiaan Bezuidenhout +14000
Adam Hadwin +14000
Wyndham Clark +15000
Harris English +15000
Francesco Molinari +16000
Webb Simpson +16000
Joel Dahmen +17000
Scott Stallings +17000
Beau Hossler +17000
Davis Riley +18000
Garrick Higgo +19000
Luke List +20000
Russell Knox +21000
Cameron Champ +21000
Ryan Palmer +21000
Hayden Buckley +21000
Sam Ryder +21000
Patrick Rodgers +22000
Emiliano Grillo +22000
MacKenzie Hughes +23000
Trey Mullinax +24000
Mark Hubbard +25000
Matthew NeSmith +25000
Martin Laird +25000
Kevin Kisner +25000
