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Best anytime touchdown bets for Chargers vs. Cardinals on MNF in Week 7

A player from each side of this game who may present value in this market

By Noah Rosenstein & R.J. White Oct 21, 2024 at 12:15 pm ET 4 min read
Arizona Cardinals tight end Elijah Higgins (84) celebrates with tight end Trey McBride (right) after scoring a touchdown against the San Francisco 49ers during the fourth quarter at Levi's Stadium.
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The second game of this week’s Monday Night Football doubleheader features the Los Angeles Chargers (3-2) visiting the Arizona Cardinals (2-4).

At FanDuel Sportsbook, the Chargers are the betting favorites at -1.5 against the spread, while the over/under is set at 44.5 total points. 

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The Cardinals got good news as the week went on, as rookie wide receiver Marvin Harrison Jr. cleared concussion protocol and top running back James Conner is good to go after suffering an ankle injury in Week 6.

This article will discuss the top TD scorer bets for this MNF matchup, including the best odds currently available for each bet at some of the best online sportsbooks. Of course, anyone who is familiar with NFL betting knows that these odds could change at any moment, so it’s always a good idea to shop around for the best odds before tailing any of these best bet recommendations.

Trey McBride (+280, FanDuel)

McBride was one of the most productive tight ends in the league last year as the Cardinals lacked a true No. 1 wide receiver like Harrison and still has been very productive, even with more competition for targets this season. He is averaging more targets (7.6), receptions (5.6) and receiving yards (54.2) per game than during his 2023 breakout campaign. With Harrison missing most of last week’s game, McBride had his best performance of the season with eight catches for 96 yards. Even with Harrison back, there are plenty of targets to share.

The Chargers have one of the best defenses in the league this season, which makes it difficult to bet on any Cardinals players finding the end zone, but McBride is the clear top option. The Chargers could wind up being a good matchup for him since they run such a zone-heavy defensive scheme. They play zone coverage on 83.6% of their plays, which is the highest rate in the NFL. 

Zone defenses can be vulnerable to tight ends such as McBride who operate over the middle of the field and excel at finding soft spots. It’s no coincidence that he has been targeted on 28.4% of his routes against zone coverage this season and just 18.8% versus man coverage. The Chargers also have faced the second-highest target share to the tight end position at 27.5%, largely because they play so much zone coverage. 

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McBride has not recorded a touchdown yet this season, despite leading the Cardinals in targets. With +280 odds at FanDuel, he is the best anytime touchdown bet in this game.

Ladd McConkey (+210, FanDuel)

J.K. Dobbins is the player most likely to score a touchdown in this game, but his best anytime touchdown odds are less than even money (-125, DraftKings), which is not ideal. Dobbins has not been nearly as efficient over the last few weeks as he was to start the season, and after an impressive debut by rookie Kimani Vidal last week, Dobbins’ sky-high volume could start to dip going forward. At his current odds, the potential payout for a Dobbins TD bet is not worthwhile.

Instead, rookie wide receiver McConkey is the best TD scorer bet on the Chargers this week. McConkey is the focal point of Los Angeles’ passing attack. His 26.4% target share this season is the 11th-highest in the league, and he also leads the Chargers with three end-zone targets. He also is coming off his season high in targets, as he had eight last week against the Denver Broncos.

This also is a great matchup for McConkey. The Cardinals are 29th in both DVOA and EPA against the pass, and they are allowing the third-most net yards per pass attempt (7.3). They also are yielding the sixth-highest touchdown rate (7.6% of pass attempts) and the second-highest catch rate (72.4%) to opposing wide receivers. 

McConkey’s overall numbers this season do not look very impressive because the Chargers have such a slow-paced, run-heavy offense. But when he’s targeted, he has been very productive, and this is a matchup in which he could put together his best performance of the season.

Be sure to monitor McConkey’s status before placing this bet at FanDuel (or anywhere else), as he appears to be a game-time decision after practicing in a limited fashion all week due to a hip injury.