Golden Tate has been a full participant in practice this week and the current expectation is that the Giants get both Tate and Evan Engram back in Week 14. That's awesome for Eli Manning, but it makes our job a little bit more difficult because the Giants suddenly have too many mouths too fed.
Whether it is because of suspension or injury, we haven't seen this offense with its full complement of weapons yet this year.
For the first four weeks of the season the Giants didn't have Tate, and Engram and Sterling Shepard led the team in targets. From Weeks 5-10, Tate led the team in targets and Darius Slayton was second because Shepard, Engram and Saquon Barkley all missed time. In the two weeks since the bye, Shepard and Slayton have tied for the team lead in targets without Tate or Engram.
So what should we expect with everyone healthy? Eli Manning's history might help.
The first two weeks of the season, 47% of the team's targets went to running backs and tight ends. In 2018 that number was 46%. Manning is not going to throw the ball downfield as often as Jones has. I would expect that makes Slayton the biggest loser, but all of the Giants receivers will take a hit in their target volume. I'm projecting an 18% target share for Tate and Shepard with 16% going to Slayton. That means none of them are better than a low-end No. 3 option, with Tate being my favorite of the three. Hopefully you have a better option.
Week 14 WR Preview
The following players are not being projected to play Week 14 at this time. Here's what it means:
Zach Pascal has another great opportunity if Hilton is out.
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Numbers to Know
- 16.8 - Mike Williams' average targeted air yards, the highest mark in the league. I still believe he has a monster week coming, but good luck guessing when.
- 11.6 - A.J. Brown's yards per target. Only Stefon Diggs has a better average.
- 20.5 - Yards per reception for John Ross before he got hurt. You can't start him this week, but he gets the Dolphins in Week 16.
- 19 - Targets for Robert Woods in Week 13. He's back inside the circle of trust.
Matchups that matter
Waiver Wire Targets
Pascal has averaged seven targets per game without T.Y. Hilton and has scored double-digit Fantasy points in three out of five games. The two games he didn't were against Dolphins and Jaguars when the Colts didn't throw as much or as successfully. This week they face a Tampa Bay team that is much easier to pass on than run against. Pascal could be a top-16 receiver once again.
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Brown has shown he just needs opportunity. Hopefully in a road game against the Raiders, he gets some. He's a boom-or-bust No. 3 receiver this week and moving forward.
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With Gardner Minshew starting all of the Jaguars' receivers have more upside.
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I don't totally trust that Washington can keep this up with four or five targets per week, but you can't ignore his upside.
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Ross could be a league-winner in Week 16.
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DFS Plays
This price isn't high enough for the guy who leads the NFL in targets over the past month and has averaged 9.0 yards per target in his career. Especially since he's playing the Falcons.
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Brown has been a top-15 receiver this season and is priced like a No. 3. Yes, the matchup is tough but the Ravens haven't been an impossible matchup for wide receivers. The ownership projections have him below two percent.
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Heath's Projections
Non-PPR Rank | PPR Rank | WR | NON PPR FPTS | PPR FPTs |
1 | 1 | 14.57 | 23.91 | |
2 | 2 | 13.96 | 20.55 | |
3 | 3 | 13.29 | 20.14 | |
10 | 4 | 12.04 | 19.50 | |
7 | 5 | D.J. Moore | 12.55 | 19.30 |
13 | 6 | 11.53 | 18.49 | |
6 | 7 | 12.58 | 18.00 | |
8 | 8 | 12.38 | 17.84 | |
4 | 9 | Stefon Diggs | 12.95 | 17.82 |
5 | 10 | 12.69 | 17.81 | |
9 | 11 | 12.33 | 17.72 | |
15 | 12 | Robert Woods | 11.41 | 17.55 |
18 | 13 | 11.12 | 17.14 | |
11 | 14 | 11.80 | 17.06 | |
14 | 15 | 11.49 | 16.98 | |
16 | 16 | 11.30 | 16.74 | |
12 | 17 | 11.53 | 16.54 | |
24 | 18 | 10.42 | 16.40 | |
21 | 19 | 10.81 | 16.33 | |
20 | 20 | 10.89 | 16.32 | |
19 | 21 | 10.94 | 16.11 | |
17 | 22 | 11.17 | 15.59 | |
22 | 23 | D.J. Chark | 10.77 | 15.29 |
31 | 24 | 9.45 | 15.26 | |
25 | 25 | 10.36 | 15.13 | |
26 | 26 | 10.25 | 15.13 | |
23 | 27 | D.K. Metcalf | 10.53 | 15.09 |
29 | 28 | 9.80 | 15.04 | |
28 | 29 | 9.82 | 14.87 | |
27 | 30 | A.J. Brown | 9.90 | 13.79 |
32 | 31 | 9.22 | 13.71 | |
39 | 32 | 8.34 | 13.68 | |
40 | 33 | 8.24 | 13.31 | |
37 | 34 | 8.39 | 13.10 | |
35 | 35 | 8.50 | 13.09 | |
36 | 36 | Golden Tate | 8.48 | 13.04 |
30 | 37 | 9.51 | 12.92 | |
48 | 38 | 7.40 | 12.45 | |
46 | 39 | 7.58 | 12.25 | |
33 | 40 | 8.97 | 12.14 | |
34 | 41 | 8.64 | 12.12 | |
47 | 42 | 7.52 | 12.04 | |
42 | 43 | 7.92 | 11.92 | |
41 | 44 | Darius Slayton | 8.10 | 11.85 |
38 | 45 | 8.39 | 11.77 | |
45 | 46 | 7.61 | 11.15 | |
52 | 47 | 7.05 | 11.13 | |
43 | 48 | Mike Williams | 7.69 | 10.71 |
So who should you sit and start this week? And which surprising quarterback could lead you to victory? Visit SportsLine now to get Week 14 Fantasy football rankings for every position, plus see which QB is going to come out of nowhere to crack the top 10, all from the model that out-performed experts big time last season.
