After eight years in the AFC South, Derrick Henry is now in a new division. However, taking a deep dive into Henry's rushing splits may have you wondering if he'll end up as one of the 2024 Fantasy football busts as an AFC North member. Henry has averaged 98.4 rushing yards per game against AFC South teams, but just 68.6 against teams from all other divisions. Furthermore, his average of 60.4 rushing yards per game against AFC North teams is his lowest of any of the eight divisions, a stat to keep in mind when taking part in Fantasy football 2024 drafts.
On the other side, Henry has never played with a quarterback with the running skills of Lamar Jackson. The threat that the two-time MVP poses could make defenses play Henry differently than how they stacked the boxes with him while in Tennessee. Several other notable running backs like Saquon Barkley, Josh Jacobs and Aaron Jones also switched teams this offseason, so where do they all fall in the 2024 Fantasy football rankings? As you finalize your 2024 Fantasy football draft prep, be sure to check out the 2024 Fantasy football cheat sheets from the proven computer model at SportsLine.
Last year, the model accurately predicted that Dolphins wide receiver Jaylen Waddle would fail to live up to his Fantasy football ADP. Waddle's 2023 Fantasy football ADP was 34.86 overall and he was the 11th receiver off the board on average. He'd go on to notch a 1,000-yard season but only had 72 receptions with four touchdowns and he'd finish as the No. 34 Fantasy football wide receiver in CBS Sports PPR leagues.
The same model has a proven track record providing Fantasy football tips, identifying A.J. Brown as a sleeper in 2020 and nailing Jonathan Taylor's monstrous season in 2021. Additionally, it's called past Fantasy football sleepers like Derrick Henry in 2019, Christian McCaffrey and Alvin Kamara in 2018, and Davante Adams in 2017. Anybody who banked on players like those made a run at their league title.
The model is powered by the same people who generated projections for all three major Fantasy sites, and it beat human experts last season when there was a big difference in ranking. The 2024 Fantasy football PPR rankings and 2024 Fantasy football standard projections update multiple times daily, so you're always getting the best Fantasy football advice.
Now, SportsLine has simulated the entire NFL season 10,000 times and released its latest Fantasy football rankings 2024, along with plenty of sleepers, breakouts and busts. Head to SportsLine now to see them.
Top 2024 Fantasy football busts
One of the 2024 Fantasy football busts the model is predicting: Dolphins receiver Jaylen Waddle. After a 2022 breakout in which he finished as the WR7, Waddle's numbers regressed last year, resulting in him finishing as the WR32. Many Fantasy managers are expecting a bounce back season from Waddle in 2024, but the model isn't as bullish on his chances. Both Waddle's yards before catch per reception and YAC/reception dropped in 2023 as he was utilized differently with Tyreek Hill running wild through defenses.
That doesn't figure to change in 2024, considering Miami's offense ranked in the top two in both points and yards a year ago. The Dolphins also averaged 3.8 more rushing attempts per game in 2023 than in 2022, so the offense simply doesn't provide as many opportunities to Waddle as it did before. That trend should only continue in 2024 as SportsLine's model has Waddle slotted closer to the WR32 he was in 2023, rather than the WR7 he was in 2022.
Another bust that SportsLine's Fantasy football rankings 2024 have identified: Rams quarterback Matthew Stafford. He averaged 264.3 passing yards and 16.9 Fantasy points per game last season, finishing as the QB14 in Fantasy. His owners relied heavily on his yards per attempt (ninth), as he was outside the top 20 in adjusted completion rate and Fantasy points per dropback.
Stafford is entering his age-36 season and has been interception-prone, so he has a shaky outlook compared to other quarterbacks going off the board at a similar ADP. He also offers zero rushing upside, which is an increasingly important factor in Fantasy football. The model has him ranked outside the top 20 at his position, suggesting that you should look elsewhere for your Fantasy quarterback. See which other Fantasy football busts 2024 to avoid here.
How to find proven 2024 Fantasy football rankings
SportsLine is also low on a wide receiver who is being drafted as a top-15 player at his position. The model ranks him outside its top 20 wide receivers for 2024 and expects him to see major regression. You can only see who it is, and the 2024 Fantasy football rankings for every player, at SportsLine.
So which 2024 Fantasy Football busts should you avoid, and which receiver will fail to live up to expectations? Visit SportsLine now to get 2024 Fantasy Football cheat sheets for every single position, all from the model that told you to avoid Jaylen Waddle in 2023, and find out.
