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The No. 10 Arkansas Razorbacks will try to improve to 4-0 for the second consecutive season when they face the No. 23 Texas A&M Aggies on Saturday night. Arkansas has not gone 4-0 in successive years since 1988-89. The Aggies had won nine consecutive meetings between these teams prior to last season when Arkansas picked up a 20-10 win.

Kickoff is set for 7 p.m. ET. The Aggies are 2-point favorites in the latest Texas A&M vs. Arkansas odds from Caesars Sportsbook, while the over/under for total points scored is 51. Before entering any Arkansas vs. Texas A&M picks, you'll want to see the college football predictions from the model at SportsLine.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. Over the past six-plus years, the proprietary computer model has generated a stunning profit of more than $3,300 for $100 players on its top-rated college football picks against the spread. It enters Week 4 of the 2022 college football season on a 51-43 run on all top-rated college football spread and money-line picks that dates back to 2021. Anyone who has followed it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Texas A&M vs. Arkansas. You can head to SportsLine to see its picks. Here are several college football odds for Arkansas vs. Texas A&M:

  • Texas A&M vs. Arkansas spread: Texas A&M -2
  • Texas A&M vs. Arkansas over/under: 51 points
  • Texas A&M vs. Arkansas picks: See picks here

Why Texas A&M can cover

Texas A&M showed some resiliency last week when it bounced back from a loss to Appalachian State with a 17-9 win over then-No. 13 Miami. The Aggies have one of the best defenses in the country, ranked ninth in the FBS in points allowed per game (8.7). Their offense should show continued improvement after head coach Jimbo Fisher promoted LSU transfer Max Johnson to starting quarterback. 

Fisher suspended four players due to a violation of team rules last week, but they are all set to return for this game. Wide receiver Evan Stewart, who had 10 receptions for 105 yards in the first two games of the season, was among those suspended. Texas A&M has won nine of the last 10 meetings between these teams, and it only needs to win by a field goal to cover the spread on Saturday night. 

Why Arkansas can cover

Texas A&M might have stopped the bleeding from its loss to Appalachian State when it beat Miami last week, but the Aggies still have some unresolved issues. They are averaging just 20.7 points per game this season, which does not match up well against an Arkansas attack that is scoring 37.7 points per game. The Razorbacks also lead the nation in sacks and rank seventh in run defense.

They are facing a Texas A&M offense that looked one dimensional against Miami last week, as Johnson completed just 10 of 20 passes for 140 yards. Arkansas quarterback KJ Jefferson has already thrown for 770 yards and six touchdowns this season. The Razorbacks have covered the spread in five of their last six games, while Texas A&M has only covered twice in its last six games. 

How to make Arkansas vs. Texas A&M picks

The model has simulated Texas A&M vs. Arkansas 10,000 times and the results are in. The model is leaning Under on the total, and it's also generated a point-spread pick that is hitting in more than 50% of simulations. You can only see the pick at SportsLine.

So who wins Arkansas vs. Texas A&M? And which side of the spread hits in more than 50% of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to find out which side of the Texas A&M vs. Arkansas spread you need to jump on Saturday, all from the model that has crushed its college football picks, and find out.