The West Virginia Mountaineers will host their second straight top-25 matchup and hope to be in a celebratory mood this time walking off their home field as they face No. 17 Kansas State Wildcats in a Big 12 battle on Saturday evening. West Virginia fell to No. 11 Iowa State, 28-16, on Saturday to drop to 2-2 overall and 2-1 in the Big 12. Kansas State is coming off a 31-28 victory over Colorado where the Wildcats blew a 24-14 lead entering the fourth quarter before a 50-yard touchdown pass from Avery Johnson to Jayce Brown with 2:14 left in the fourth quarter resulted in the victory to improve the Wildcats to 5-1 overall and 2-1 in the Big 12.
Kickoff is set for 7:30 p.m. ET on Saturday at Mountaineer Field at Milan Puskar Stadium in Morgantown, W.V. Kansas State is a 2.5-point favorite in the latest Kansas State vs. West Virginia odds, while the over/under is 55.5 points, per SportsLine consensus. Before entering any West Virginia vs. Kansas State picks, you'll want to see the college football predictions from the model at SportsLine.
The model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. Since its inception, it has generated a profit of well over $2,000 for $100 players on its top-rated college spread football picks, and it is a sizzling 12-5 on all top-rated picks for sports betting over the past three weeks of this season. Anyone who has followed it at sports betting apps has seen strong returns.
The model has set its sights on WVU vs. Kansas State. You can head to SportsLine to see its picks. Here are several college football betting lines from sports betting sites for the game Kansas State vs. WVU game:
- Kansas State vs. West Virginia spread: Kansas State -2.5
- Kansas State vs. West Virginia over/under: 55.5 points
- Kansas State vs. West Virginia money line: Kansas State -145, West Virginia +120
- Kansas State vs. West Virginia picks: See picks here
- Kansas State vs. West Virginia streaming: FuboTV (Try for free)
Why Kansas State can cover
Kansas State has two victories against ranked opponents this season (No. 20 Arizona and No. 20 Oklahoma State) sandwiched around a 38-9 loss to BYU when the Wildcats turned the ball over three times in one of those games where nothing seemingly went right. Kansas State can win and cover in this one if it limits turnovers.
Kansas State is led by one of the best rushing attacks in the nation as the Wildcats rank sixth in rushing yards per game (232.6) and seventh in yards per rush (6.0). Junior running back DJ Giddens has rushed for 786 yards on 108 carries for 7.3 yards per carry and Johnson has added 306 yards on 51 carries as a dual-threat quarterback. Each of the Wildcats' four players with at least 15 carries this season are averaging more than 5.0 yards per carry and although West Virginia is allowing just 3.9 yards per carry (44th in college football), this is a daunting rushing attack to try to contain. See which team to pick here.
Why West Virginia can cover
Although West Virginia is 0-2 against ranked opponents, the fact the Mountaineers have seen top 25 opponents, both of which are currently ranked in the top 10, means the talent level of Kansas State shouldn't be anything new. The Wolverines are led by experienced fifth-year senior quarterback Garrett Greene, a seemingly rare fifth-year senior who has played all five years at the same school. Greene is extremely comfortable in the West Virginia offensive scheme and after throwing for 2,406 yards with 16 touchdowns compared to four interceptions last season, he has 1,267 passing yards over six games with a better completion percentage (57%) than last year.
West Virginia will look to control the time of possession through the rushing attack also. The Mountaineers are 16th in college football in rush attempts per game (42.4) and 33rd in rushing yards (191.6). What they lack in a true explosive lead running back capable of breaking a huge touchdown run at any moment they make up for in depth with Jahiem White, CJ Donaldson Jr. and Greene all rushing for between 378 and 398 yards this season. White and Greene averaged 5.9 yards per carry and if they can control time of possession on Saturday, West Virginia can certainly cover the spread or even outright win. See which team to pick here.
How to make Kansas State vs. West Virginia picks
The model has simulated West Virginia vs. Kansas State 10,000 times and the results are in. The model is leaning Over, and it's also generated a point-spread pick that is hitting in 70% of simulations. You can only see the pick at SportsLine.
So who wins Kansas State vs. West Virginia, and which side of the spread is hitting 70% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the West Virginia vs. Kansas State spread to jump on, all from the advanced computer model that's up well over $2,000 on its top-rated college football spread picks since its inception, and find out.
