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The UNLV Rebels meet up against No. 22 Fresno State for a primetime matchup on CBS Sports Network on Friday night. UNLV has been blown out in two of its three losses going into Friday's matchup. The Bulldogs bounced back from their Week 2 loss to Oregon by winning two games in a row. Fresno State has its eye on a third straight win in front of its home crowd.

Kickoff from Bulldog Stadium is set for 10 p.m. ET. The Bulldogs are favored by 30 points in the latest Fresno State vs. UNLV odds from Caesars Sportsbook, while the over-under for total points is set at 59 points. Before finalizing any UNLV vs. Fresno State picks, make sure to check out the college football predictions and analysis from the proven SportsLine Projection Model

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. Over the past five-plus years, the proprietary computer model has generated a stunning profit of almost $3,000 for $100 players on its top-rated college football picks against the spread. It also enters Week 4 of the 2021 season on a 72-58 run on all top-rated college football picks. Anyone who has followed it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on UNLV vs Fresno State and just revealed its picks and predictions. You can visit SportsLine now to see the model's Fresno State vs. UNLV picks. Here are several college football odds and betting lines for Fresno State vs. UNLV:

  • UNLV vs. Fresno State spread: Fresno State -30
  • UNLV vs. Fresno State over-under: 59 points 
  • UNLV vs. Fresno State money line: UNLV +3000, Fresno State -25000 
  • UNLV: Rebels are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games in September  
  • FS: Bulldogs are 19-9-1 ATS in their last 29 home games

Why UNLV can cover

Junior defensive lineman Adam Plant Jr. is an athletic defender who can impose his will on opposing offensive lines. Plant Jr. has recorded 13 total tackles, 1.5 tackles for loss, and one sack. The former TCU Horned Frog had a solid 2020 season and looks to improve on it.

Plant Jr. finished fourth on the team with 31 total tackles and led the Rebels with seven tackles for loss. The junior defensive end was impressive against Fresno State in 2020. Plant Jr. had seven tackles to go along with two tackles for loss and 1.5 sacks. He already showed he can have a great game against the Bulldogs. 

Why Fresno State can cover 

Fresno State has been able to establish a run game, averaging 135.8 rushing yards a game. The Bulldog rushing attack is led by senior running back Ronnie Rivers. He's coming off the best game of his season, where he ran for 136 yards and two touchdowns against UCLA. Rivers has rushed for 298 yards and three scores through four games.

UNLV has struggled to stop its opponents from running the ball. The Rebels have allowed 189.3 yards on the ground. Fresno State will look to exploit this weakness in the UNLV defense. The Bulldog offensive line will be physical with the Rebels front seven all game. 

How to make UNLV vs. Fresno State picks 

SportsLine's model is leaning under on the total, with the teams projected to combine for 58 points. The model also says one side of the spread is hitting in well over 50 percent of simulations. You can only get the model's Fresno State vs. UNLV pick at SportsLine

So who wins Fresno State vs. UNLV? And which side of the spread cashes in well over 50 percent of simulations?  Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Fresno State vs. UNLV spread to jump on, all from the advanced model that finished the past five-plus years up nearly $3,000 on its FBS college football picks, and find out.