College football odds, picks, lines, top predictions for Week 7, 2023: Model backs Kansas State, UNC

SportsLine's advanced computer model has revealed its 2023 Week 7 college football picks

By CBS Sports Staff

Oct 14, 2023 at 10:49 am ET • 3 min read

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No. 24 Kentucky was hoping to take down top-ranked Georgia in an SEC East showdown last week, but the Wildcats were blown out in a 51-13 final. They will try to bounce back when they host Missouri on Saturday night during the Week 7 college football schedule. Kentucky is a 2.5-point favorite in the Week 7 college football odds from SportsLine consensus. Should you expect the Wildcats to bounce back when you place your Week 7 college football bets?

Meanwhile, Georgia is a 32.5-point favorite at Vanderbilt on Saturday afternoon. The Bulldogs have struggled to cover large spreads this season, but they are coming off their best performance of the season. Before locking in any Week 7 college football picks on those games or others, be sure to see the latest college football predictions from SportsLine's proven model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. Since its inception, it has generated a stunning profit of more than $2,000 for $100 players on its top-rated college football picks against the spread. Anyone who has followed it has seen huge returns.

Now, it has turned its attention to the latest college football odds for Week 7 and locked in picks for every FBS matchup. Head here to see every pick.

Top college football predictions for Week 7

One of the college football picks the model is recommending for Saturday: Kansas State (+1.5) beats Texas Tech on the road at 7 p.m. ET. The Wildcats have dominated this rivalry in recent years, winning each of their last six games against the Red Raiders. What's even more impressive, Kansas State is 5-1 in its last six road games against Texas Tech.

The Wildcats are scoring 35.8 points per game this season, which ranks 26h in the nation. Kansas State is led by quarterback Will Howard, who's thrown for 1,224 yards and nine touchdowns this season. He's also an effective runner, rushing 38 times for 227 yards and six scores. Defensively, Kansas State ranks 23rd in the country in third-down conversion percentage (32.4%), a big reason why the model expects the Wildcats to cover the spread in nearly 60% of simulations.

Another prediction: No. 12 North Carolina (-3) easily covers the spread against No. 25 Miami in a 7:30 p.m. ET kickoff at Kenan Memorial Stadium. The Hurricanes have been one of the most overvalued teams in the country since the beginning of last season, covering the spread just four times in their last 16 games. They have only covered the spread once in their last nine games against ACC opponents.

North Carolina has been trending in the opposite direction, covering five times in its last six games. The Tar Heels are 13-4 in their last 17 home games, and they have covered in four of their last five home games against Miami. They are off to an unbeaten start to the season, led by Heisman Trophy candidate Drake Maye, who threw for 442 yards and three touchdowns in a 40-7 win over Syracuse last week. He is finishing with more than 300 passing yards and two touchdowns in the model's latest simulations, which is one reason why North Carolina is covering the spread over 60% of the time. See which other teams the model likes here.

How to make college football picks for Week 7

The model has also made the call on who wins and covers in every other FBS matchup in Week 7, and it's calling for several underdogs to win outright. You can only get every pick for every game at SportsLine.

So what college football picks can you make with confidence, and which underdogs win outright? Check out the latest college football odds below, then visit SportsLine to see which teams win and cover the spread, all from a proven computer model that has returned more than $2,000 in profit since its inception, and find out.