The Boise State Broncos and the Fresno State Bulldogs will face off in a Mountain West clash on Saturday night at Albertsons Stadium in Boise. The Broncos are 3-2 overall after a 35-13 win against San Diego State, while Fresno State is 1-3 overall, and coming off a 19-14 road loss to Connecticut. Last year, the Broncos defeated the 23rd ranked Bulldogs 40-14 in Fresno. Both teams have struggled against the spread in 2022, with Fresno State going 0-4 and Boise State going 1-3-1 thus far.
Kickoff is scheduled for 9:45 p.m. ET. The Broncos are favored by 7.5 points in the latest Boise State vs. Fresno State odds from Caesars Sportsbook, and the over/under is set at 45.5. Before making any Fresno State vs. Boise State picks, you'll want to see the college football predictions and betting advice from the model at SportsLine.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. Over the past six-plus years, the proprietary computer model has generated a stunning profit of more than $3,100 for $100 players on its top-rated college football picks against the spread. Anyone who has followed it has seen huge returns.
Now, the model has set its sights on Boise State vs. Fresno State and just locked in its picks and CFB predictions.. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model's picks. Here are several college football odds and betting lines for Boise State vs. Fresno State:
- Boise State vs. Fresno State spread: Boise State -7.5
- Boise State vs. Fresno State over/under: 45.5 points
- Boise State vs. Fresno State picks: See picks here
What you need to know about Boise State
The Broncos trailed 13-0 to San Diego State at halftime last Friday night before staging a furious second half rally with five scores in the 35-13 victory. Boise State totaled 450 yards to SDSU's 117 and completely dominated on defense, holding the Aztecs to a meager 2 of 16 passing for 33 yards and an interception.
Boise State scored all five touchdowns on the ground in the second half, with RB George Holani accounting for two, QB Taylen Green scoring twice, and RB Ashton Jeanty with the other one in the final minute. Holani rushed for 131 yards on 17 carries and Green added 105 yards on 8 rushing attempts as Boise State rushed for 316 yards in total. The Broncos' passing attack has been weak thus far in 2022 so the team is likely to rely on its running game going forward for new interim offensive coordinator (and former Boise State head coach), Dirk Koetter.
What you need to know about Fresno State
Fresno State's loss to UConn as more than a three touchdown favorite derails all momentum the Bulldogs might've had in 2022. Starting QB Jake Haener was hurt against USC and his replacement, Logan Fife, failed to produce in the stunning loss. Though the sophomore QB completed 16 of 22 passes for 157 yards, he was intercepted twice and also lost a fumble.
For the Bulldogs to rebound on Saturday, RB Jordan Mims will likely have to be the key performer. In four games, the senior RB has rushed for 348 yards and five scores, despite only gaining 39 yards on 15 carries against the Huskies. Boise State is stout against the run though, only giving up 101.8 yards per game which ranks among the top-30 defenses in the country.
How to make Boise State vs. Fresno State picks
The model has simulated Boise State vs. Fresno State 10,000 times and the results are in. We can tell you that the model is leaning Over on the point total, and it's also generated a point-spread pick that is hitting in well over 50% of simulations. You can only see the model's pick at SportsLine.
So who wins the matchup between Fresno State and Boise State and which side of the spread holds all the value? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Fresno State vs. Boise State spread to jump on, all from the advanced model that finished the past six-plus years up more than $3,100 on its FBS college football picks, and find out.
