The No. 4 Alabama Crimson Tide (3-0) are expected to close as home underdogs for the first time since 2007 when they host the No. 2 Georgia Bulldogs (3-0) on Saturday night in an SEC showdown. Alabama will be without retired coach Nick Saban for the first time since the 2003 meeting, as first-year coach Kalen DeBoer heads into SEC play. The Crimson Tide have picked up three blowout wins in their first three games of the season, including a 42-10 win at Wisconsin their last time out. Georgia is looking for a cleaner performance after narrowly getting past Kentucky in a 13-12 final.
Kickoff in Tuscaloosa is scheduled for 7:30 p.m. ET. The latest Georgia vs. Alabama odds via SportsLine consensus list the Bulldogs as 1-point favorites, while the over/under is 48.5, down from opening at 53.5. Before making any Georgia vs. Alabama picks, be sure to check out the college football predictions and betting advice from the SportsLine Projection Model.
The model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. Since its inception, it has generated a profit of well over $2,000 for $100 players on its top-rated college football picks against the spread. It is also coming off a profitable 13-9 season on top-rated spread picks. Anyone who has followed it has seen strong returns.
Now, the model has set its sights on Alabama vs. Georgia. You can head to SportsLine to see its picks. Here are several college football betting lines on the spread, money line and over/under for Alabama vs. Georgia:
- Alabama vs. Georgia spread: Georgia -1
- Alabama vs. Georgia over/under: 49.5 points
- Alabama vs. Georgia money line: Georgia -118, Alabama -104
- Alabama vs. Georgia picks: See picks at SportsLine
Why Alabama can cover
Alabama handed Georgia a loss in last year's SEC Championship Game, marking Saban's final victory before retirement. The Crimson Tide have shown no signs of decline under DeBoer, cruising past Western Kentucky, South Florida and Wisconsin by a combined score of 147-26. Second-year starter Jalen Milroe has thrown eight touchdowns and zero interceptions while rushing for 156 yards and six touchdowns.
Milroe was the last quarterback to beat Georgia, as the Bulldogs are riding a 42-game regular-season winning streak. Alabama has won eight of the last nine meetings between these teams, including seven straight in the regular season. The Crimson Tide have covered the spread in 10 of their last 14 games dating back to last season, and they are 29-1 straight up in their last 30 games at Bryant-Denny Stadium. See which team to pick here.
Why Georgia can cover
The Bulldogs have a veteran signal caller in quarterback Carson Beck. The senior has completed 56 of 82 pass attempts for 680 yards, seven touchdowns and zero interceptions this season. Beck completed 72.4% of his passes for 243 yards in Georgia's 27-24 loss against Alabama in last year's SEC Championship game. Also powering Georgia's offense is running back Trevor Etienne, who's averaging 6.5 yards per carry this season.
Defensively, the Bulldogs are giving up just 6.0 points per game this season, which ranks third in the nation. They've been particularly stout against the pass, allowing just 91.3 passing yards per game on average, the fewest in college football. In addition, Georgia has won nine of its last 10 games against an opponent from the SEC, so the Bulldogs will be confident they can secure the victory in Tuscaloosa on Saturday. See which team to pick here.
How to make Georgia vs. Alabama picks
The model has simulated Alabama vs. Georgia 10,000 times and the results are in. The model is leaning Over the total, and it's also generated a point-spread pick that is hitting in nearly 60% of simulations. You can only see the pick at SportsLine.
So who wins Alabama vs. Georgia, and which side of the spread hits nearly 60% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the spread to jump on, all from the advanced computer model that's up over $2,000 on its top-rated college football spread picks since its inception, and find out.
