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Air Force (2-1) and Nevada (2-2) collide in a Mountain West showdown on Friday night. Air Force looks to improve to 3-0 at Falcon Stadium in front of a roaring crowd. In Week 3, they were upset 17-14 at the hands of Wyoming. On the opposite sideline, Nevada is on a two-game skid, falling 27-0 to Iowa last week. Air Force is averaging 396 rushing yards per game this season, and is 2-1 against the spread thus far. Nevada is allowing 111.5 rushing yards per game this year, and is 2-2 ATS in 2022.
Kickoff from Falcon Stadium is set for 8 p.m. ET. Caesars Sportsbook lists the Falcons as 24-point favorites in the latest Nevada vs. Air Force odds. The over/under for total points is set at 46.5. Before making any Air Force vs. Nevada picks, be sure to check out the college football predictions and betting advice from SportsLine's proven model.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. Over the past six-plus years, the proprietary computer model has generated a stunning profit of more than $3,300 for $100 players on its top-rated college football picks against the spread. It enters Week 4 of the 2022 college football season on a 51-43 run on all top-rated college football spread and money-line picks that dates back to 2021. Anyone who has followed it has seen huge returns.
Now, the model has set its sights on Nevada vs. Air Force and just revealed its picks and CFB predictions. You can visit SportsLine now to see the model's picks. Now, here are several college football odds and betting lines for Air Force vs. Nevada:
- Nevada vs. Air Force spread: Falcons -24
- Nevada vs. Air Force over/under: 46.5 points
- Nevada vs. Air Force money line: Falcons -4000, Wolf Pack +1450
- NEV: Wolf Pack are 5-0 ATS in their last five games on grass
- AFA: Falcons are 6-1 ATS in their last seven games overall
- Nevada vs. Air Force picks: See picks here
Why Air Force can cover
Air Force trots out a stifling and aggressive defensive group. The Falcons are off to a hot start to the 2022 season. Teams haven't had much success moving the ball against this unit. They rank third in the Mountain West in total defense (303) and first in passing yards allowed (166.3). Air Force hasn't allowed more than 17 points in any game thus far.
Junior safety Camby Goff is flying around the field, consistently making a play on the ball. Goff is an instinctive player in coverage, quickly breaking on the pigskin. He's leading the team in pass deflections (5) and interceptions (2) along with 15 total tackles. In his last game, he recorded eight total tackles and swatted away two passes.
Why Nevada can cover
Nevada owns a tough rushing attack with a multitude of ball carriers. The Wolf Pack are averaging 139.5 rushing yards per game with nine touchdowns. Senior quarterback Nate Cox is a physically imposing athlete (6-foot-9, 215 pounds) who makes plays with his arm and legs. Cox has thrown for 372 yards along with two scores. He also rushed for 82 yards with two touchdowns.
Senior Toa Taua is a bruising tailback for the Wolf Pack. Taua is difficult to bring down to his contact balance and strength (218 pounds). He's leading the team with 78 carries for 277 yards and three touchdowns. The California native can also be a pass-catching weapon from the backfield. Taua has snagged 10 passes for 89 yards and one score
How to make Nevada vs. Air Force picks
SportsLine's model is leaning Over on the point total, projecting the teams to combine for 51 points. The model also says one side of the spread hits in 60% of simulations. You can only see the model's pick at SportsLine.
So who wins Nevada vs. Air Force? And which side of the spread hits in 60% of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the model that has crushed its college football picks, and find out.
