The Army Black Knights seek their third consecutive victory against the Air Force Falcons when the teams meet in the 2022 Commanders' Classic on Saturday. Army (3-4) is 18-37-1 in the all-time series but has won four of the last five meetings, including a 10-7 triumph in 2020 and a 21-14 overtime victory last year. The Black Knights are looking to win the Commander-in-Chief's Trophy for the fourth time since 2017, while the Falcons aim for their 21st title. Air Force (5-3), which last captured the award in 2016, is one step away from taking the crown after defeating Navy 13-10 on Oct. 1.
Kickoff at Choctaw Stadium in Arlington, Texas is set for 11:30 a.m. ET. The Falcons are 7-point favorites in the latest Air Force vs. Army odds from Caesars Sportsbook, while the over/under for total points scored is 40.5. Saturday's game can be seen live on CBS and streamed live on Paramount+ with their must-have Premium plan.
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And before making any Army vs. Air Force picks or college football predictions, see what SportsLine's advanced computer model has to say.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. Over the past six-plus years, the proprietary computer model has generated a stunning profit of almost $3,000 for $100 players on its top-rated college football picks against the spread. Anyone who has followed it has seen huge returns.
Now, the model has set its sights on Air Force vs. Army and just locked in its picks and CFB predictions. You can visit SportsLine now to see its picks. Here are the college football odds and betting lines for Army vs. Air Force:
- Air Force vs. Army spread: Falcons -7
- Air Force vs. Army over/under: 40.5 points
- Air Force vs. Army money line: Falcons -285, Black Knights +228
- AF: The Falcons are 20-7 against the spread in their last 27 non-conference games
- ARMY: The Black Knights are 2-7 ATS in their last nine overall contests
- Air Force vs. Army picks: See picks at SportsLine
- Air Force vs. Army streaming: Stream on Paramount+
Why Air Force can cover
It's no secret that the Falcons have been the best rushing team in the nation since the beginning of the 2020 season, as they are on their way to winning their third consecutive NCAA rushing title. They lead the country with an average of 336.8 yards on the ground and have gained over 400 in four of their eight contests, including a season opener against Northern Iowa in which they posted the highest total of any FBS team this year (582). Air Force will be eager to regain its form after recording its second-lowest amount of rushing yards in 2022 (175) in a 19-14 loss to Boise State on Oct. 22.
Brad Roberts gained 90 of those 175 yards, giving him 943 on the season to rank 12th in the country. The senior running back, who has reached triple digits in six of the Falcons' eight games this year, is ninth nationally with an average of 117.9 yards per contest. Junior John Lee Eldridge III has eclipsed the 100-yard mark three times en route to 574 yards on 65 carries this campaign after rushing only three times for 21 yards in 2021.
Why Army can cover
The Black Knights are a close second nationally in rushing yards at 334.6 per contest. Army has gained over 440 yards three times this season and are looking to eclipse the mark for a third straight game after amassing 467 and 441 in victories over Colgate and UL Monroe, respectively. The team had two players run for more than 85 yards in each win, with senior quarterback Jemel Jones (96) and junior running back Tyson Riley (90) accomplishing the feat versus the Warhawks while combining for four rushing touchdowns.
Jones also led the Black Knights in rushing against the Raiders, posting his second career 100-yard performance with 113 -- along with a pair of TDs. Jones is second on the team with five rushing scores -- one behind fellow senior signal-caller Tyhier Tyler, who is Army's second-leading rusher with 316 yards. Tyler also has a 100-yard rushing effort under his belt this season as he gained 110 on Oct. 1 against Georgia State.
How to make Army vs. Air Force picks
SportsLine's model is leaning Over on the total, with the teams projected to combine for 44 points. The model also says one side of the spread hits more than 50% of the time. Head to SportsLine to see the picks.
So who will win Air Force vs. Army? And which side of the spread hits more than 50% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the spread to jump on, all from the model that has crushed its college football picks, and find out, and don't forget to stream the game on Paramount+.
