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The North Texas Mean Green and Boise State Broncos meet in the 2022 Frisco Bowl on Saturday evening. The Mean Green own a 7-6 record but have lost two of their past three games. On the flip side, Boise State is 9-4 overall. The Broncos had their three-game win streak snapped in the Mountain West Championship on Dec. 3. The last game between these schools happened in 2000, with Boise State blowing out North Texas 59-0. Phil Bennett is the interim head coach for the Mean Green after they fired Seth Littrell on Dec. 4.

Kickoff from Toyota Stadium in Frisco, Texas, is set for 9:15 p.m. ET. The Broncos are 12-point favorites in the North Texas vs. Boise State odds, while the over/under for total points is 62. Before making any Boise State vs. North Texas picks, you need to see the college football predictions and betting advice from SportsLine's advanced computer simulation model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. Over the past six-plus years, the proprietary computer model has generated a stunning profit of almost $2,500 for $100 players on its top-rated college football picks against the spread. Anyone who has followed it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Boise State vs. North Texas and just locked in its picks and CFB predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model's picks. Now, here are several college football odds and betting lines for North Texas vs. Boise State:

  • North Texas vs. Boise State spread: Broncos -12
  • North Texas vs. Boise State over/under: 62 points
  • North Texas vs. Boise State money line: Broncos -440, Mean Green +335
  • UNT: Mean Green is 6-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record
  • BSU: Broncos are 7-1-1 ATS in their last nine games following an ATS loss
  • North Texas vs. Boise State picks: See picks at SportsLine

Why Boise State can cover

The Broncos have played great defense all throughout the season and have the numbers to back it up. Boise State ranks second in the Mountain West in scoring (18.5), total defense (281.5), rushing yards allowed (120.8) and passing yards allowed (160.7). Senior linebacker DJ Schramm plays a pivotal role in this unit. Schramm is an instinctive tackling machine, leading the team in total tackles (97).

The California native has finished with double-digit stops in five games. Senior safety JL Skinner has great awareness and always finds himself around the ball. Skinner has solid coverage skills and can be a thumper in the run game. He's secured 62 total tackles, four pass deflections and four interceptions. On Nov. 19, Skinner logged five tackles and two picks. 

Why North Texas can cover

Junior quarterback Austin Aune is an accurate passer who has good arm strength to push the ball downfield. Aune provides the Green Mean offense with big-play ability. The Texas native is 17th in the nation in passing yards (3,309) and eighth in passing touchdowns (32). He's tossed at least three passing touchdowns in seven games. Aune has also thrown a pass 50-plus yards in nine matchups this season. He's already declared for the 2023 NFL Draft but he decided not to opt out of the Frisco Bowl.

Junior receiver Jyaire Shorter is a serious deep threat who can take the top off the defense. Shorter has been a smooth route runner and tracks the ball extremely well downfield. He's snagged 22 receptions for 598 yards and a team-high 10 touchdowns. The Texas native also averages a staggering 27.2 yards per reception. In his last game, he caught two passes for 48 yards and a touchdown. 

How to make North Texas vs. Boise State picks

SportsLine's model is leaning Over on the total, projecting 65 combined points. The model also says one side of the spread hits in well over 60% of simulations. You can only see the model's pick at SportsLine.

So who wins Boise State vs. North Texas? And which side of the spread hits in well over 60% of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the model that has crushed its college football picks, and find out.