The Utah State Aggies face the Oregon State Beavers in the 2021 Jimmy Kimmel LA Bowl on Saturday evening at SoFi Stadium in Los Angeles. Both teams are enjoying successful seasons. Utah State is 10-3 overall and 7-2 against Mountain West foes, winning the conference title in the process. Oregon State is 7-5 overall and 5-4 against Pac-12 opponents this season.
Caesars Sportsbook lists the Beavers as 6.5-point favorites for this 7:30 p.m. ET kickoff. The total number of points Vegas thinks will be scored, or the over-under, is 68 in the latest Oregon State vs. Utah State odds. Before locking in any Utah State vs. Oregon State picks, be sure to see the 2021 Jimmy Kimmel LA Bowl predictions and betting advice from SportsLine's proven model.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. Over the past five-plus years, the proprietary computer model has generated a stunning profit of almost $3,700 for $100 players on its top-rated college football picks against the spread. It also enters the 2021-22 college football bowl season on a 43-29 run on all top-rated college football side picks. Anyone who has followed it has seen huge returns.
Now, the model has set its sights on Utah State vs. Oregon State, and just locked in its picks and LA Bowl predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model's picks. Now, here are several college football betting lines and trends for Oregon State vs. Utah State:
- Utah State vs. Oregon State spread: Oregon State -6.5
- Utah State vs. Oregon State over-under: 68 points
- Utah State vs. Oregon State money line: OSU -260, USU +210
- USU: The Aggies are 10-3 against the spread this season
- OSU: The Beavers are 7-5 against the spread in 2021
Why Utah State can cover
Utah State's offense is prolific and effective, with a pairing of quarterback and wide receiver at the center of the attack. Junior quarterback Logan Bonner is operating the position at a high level, throwing for more than 3,500 yards in 12 games. Bonner also has 36 touchdown passes compared to only 11 interceptions, and the signal-caller is averaging 8.5 yards per pass attempt this season. Bonner is flanked by senior Deven Thompson, who is the best wide receiver in the Mountain West this season.
Thompson leads the conference with 1,589 receiving yards, and he adds a conference-leading 96 catches and a robust average of more than 16 yards per reception. All told, the Aggies are averaging more than 450 total yards and more than 300 passing yards per game, and Utah State is also No. 1 in the Mountain West in converting 44.3 percent of third down opportunities.
Why Oregon State can cover
Oregon State's offense is excellent, and that unit leads the way for the Beavers. Junior running back B.J. Baylor leads the Pac-12 with 1,259 rushing yards this season. He added 13 rushing touchdowns to go along with 6.0 yards per carry. Baylor is the biggest reason that Oregon State leads the conference in rushing yards per game (217.4). The Beavers are putting up 5.4 yards per carry with 32 rushing touchdowns as a group.
Oregon State is a top-three team in the Pac-12 in total offense (430.5 yards per game) and scoring offense (32.8 points per game), with conference-leading marks in third-down efficiency (51 percent), sack prevention (10 sacks) and yards per pass attempt (8.1). Utah State's defense can also be vulnerable, with the Aggies allowing the fourth-most total yards (391 per game) in the Mountain West. The Aggies are notably poor against the run, with opponents generating 4.4 yards per carry and more than 160 yards per game on the ground against Utah State.
How to make Utah State vs. Oregon State picks
SportsLine's model is leaning under on the total, projecting the teams to combine for 65 points. The model also says one side of the spread hits in over 60 percent of simulations. You can only get the model's Jimmy Kimmel LA Bowl pick at SportsLine.
So who wins Utah State vs. Oregon State? And which side of the spread hits in over 60 percent of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Utah State vs. Oregon State spread you need to jump on Saturday, all from the model that has crushed its college football picks, and find out.
