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The San Diego State Aztecs (21-7) and the Fresno State Bulldogs (19-12) are set to square off in a Mountain West Conference Tournament matchup at 11:30 p.m. ET n Thursday, March 10 at Thomas & Mack Center. Fresno State won its MWC Tournament opener over San Jose State 69-67 in overtime on Wednesday night. San Diego State is coming off a 79-78 win over Nevada on March 5, and has won four straight. The game will be televised on CBS Sports Network.

San Diego State is favored by four points in the latest San Diego State vs. Fresno State odds from Caesars Sportsbook, and the over-under is set at 113.5. Before making any Fresno State vs. San Diego State picks, you need to see the college basketball predictions and betting advice from the red-hot computer simulation model at SportsLine.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every Division I college basketball game 10,000 times. Over the past five-plus years, the proprietary computer model has generated an impressive profit of almost $1,600 for $100 players on its top-rated college basketball picks against the spread. Anyone who has followed it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on San Diego State vs. Fresno State, and just locked in its picks and CBB predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model's picks. Here are several college basketball odds and betting lines for San Diego State vs. Fresno State:

  • San Diego State vs. Fresno State spread: San Diego State -4
  • San Diego State vs. Fresno State over-under: 114 points

What you need to know about Fresno State

Fresno State earned some postseason bragging rights after a successful outing on Wednesday. They skirted by the San Jose State Spartans 69-67 thanks to a clutch half-court bomb from guard Jordan Campbell as the clock expired. Forward Orlando Robinson had 31 points along with six rebounds, and this makes it back-to-back games in which he has scored at least 45% of the Bulldogs' points.

The Bulldogs are inconsistent offensively, but outstanding on the defensive end.  They rank third in college basketball when it comes to points allowed per game, with only 58.7 on average. Robinson has been a dominant force for Fresno State, averaging 19.5 points, 8.1 rebounds, 2.7 assists, and 1.3 blocks per game. The Bulldogs are 17-12-1 against the spread in 2021-22.

What you need to know about San Diego State

Speaking of close games: San Diego State escaped with a win on Saturday against the Nevada Wolf Pack by the margin of a single free throw, 79-78. San Diego State got double-digit scores from four players: guard Matt Bradley (24), guard Trey Pulliam (12), guard Lamont Butler (11), and forward Keshad Johnson (10).

San Diego State is an elite defensive team. The Aztecs enter this matchup boasting the second fewest points allowed per game in college basketball at 58.3. Bradley, a 6-foot-4 senior, leads the way for San Diego State, averaging 17.8 points, 5.3 rebounds, 2.7 assists, and 1.1 steals per game. The Aztecs are 15-13-3 against the spread in 2021-22.

How to make San Diego State vs. Fresno State picks

The model has simulated San Diego State vs. Fresno State 10,000 times and the results are in. We can tell you that the model is leaning Over on the point total, and it also says one side of the spread has all the value. You can only see the model's pick at SportsLine.

So who wins Fresno State vs. San Diego State? And which side of the spread holds all the value? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the San Diego State vs. Fresno State spread to jump on, all from the advanced model that is up almost $1,600 on its top-rated college basketball spread picks over the last five-plus years, and find out.