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USATSI

A first-round matchup in the 2023 NCAA Tournament takes place when the No. 7 seed Missouri Tigers and the No. 10 seed Utah State Aggies clash in the South Region on Thursday afternoon. The Aggies are looking to advance to the second round for the first time since 2001. Meanwhile, Missouri last made the tournament in 2021, when the Tigers were eliminated in the first round. 

Tipoff from Golden 1 Center in Sacramento is set for 1:40 p.m. ET. The Aggies are 1-point favorites in the latest Utah State vs. Missouri odds from Caesars Sportsbook, while the over/under for total points scored is 155.5. Before making any Missouri vs. Utah State, be sure to check out the college basketball predictions and betting advice from SportsLine's proven computer model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every Division I college basketball game 10,000 times. The model enters the 2023 NCAA Tournament 79-53 on all-top rated college basketball picks this season, returning nearly $1,300 for $100 players. Anybody who has followed it has seen huge returns. 

Now, the model has set its sights on Missouri vs. Utah State and revealed its coveted picks and predictions for the NCAA Tournament 2023. You can head to SportsLine to see the picks. Here are several college basketball odds and trends for Utah State vs. Missouri:

  • Utah State vs. Missouri: Aggies -1
  • Utah State vs. Missouri over/under: 155.5 points
  • Utah State vs. Missouri money line: Aggies -130, Tigers +110
  • USU: Aggies are 7-1 ATS in their last eight games overall
  • MIZZ: Tigers are 5-1 ATS in their last six neutral site games
  • Utah State vs. Missouri picks: See picks at SportsLine

Why Utah State can cover

Junior guard Steven Ashworth has been the focal point for the Aggies. Ashworth utilizes his solid court vision to orchestrate the offense while being a regular scorer. The Utah native leads the squad in points (16.3), assists (4.5) and steals (1.2). He finished with at least 19 points in four of his last six outings. On March 1 against UNLV, Ashworth had 27 points and seven assists.

Senior forward Taylor Funk is another floor-spacing shooting weapon on the outside. Funk offers superb range and thrives as a catch-and-shoot option. The Pennsylvania native averages 13.3 points, 5.5 rebounds, and knocks down 37% of his attempts from downtown. On Mar. 9, Funk tallied 32 points and went 6-of-10 from downtown against New Mexico.

Why Missouri can cover 

Senior guard DeAndre Gholston is an energetic and athletic scoring threat in the backcourt. Gholston has a solid jumper with the quickness to consistently find his way into the lane. The Indiana native averages 10.7 points and 2.3 rebounds per game. He has finished with at least 15 points in three of his last four games. On March 11 against Alabama, Gholston notched 17 points and two assists.

Junior forward Noah Carter gives the Tigers a strong and mobile force. Carter has the ability to stretch the floor as a spot-up shooter or take defenders off the dribble. The Iowa native logs 9.5 points and 3.9 rebounds per contest. In the March 4 game against Ole Miss, Carter tallied 17 points, five rebounds and three assists. 

How to make Utah State vs. Missouri picks

SportsLine's model is leaning Under on the point total, projecting the teams to combine for 154 points. The model also says one side of the spread hits 60% of the time. You can only see the model's pick at SportsLine.

So who wins Missouri vs. Utah State? And which side of the spread hits 60% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to find out which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the model that has crushed its college basketball picks, and find out.