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Today's Top Free Expert Picks

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  • expert headshot
    Matt Severance
    #1
    +1088
    (69%)
    53-24 in Last 77 MLB ML Picks
    TB
    -150
    Money Line
    Picked: May 16 @ 9:50pm

    Analysis

    Trying to hold my tongue here but a couple of utterly ridiculous managerial decisions just hammered me Saturday. What Atlanta's Walt Weiss did ... I'm baffled. Just utter stupidity, man, and I haven't managed since Little League. I thought Rays manager Kevin Cash made a horrible 10th inning decision as well in Saturday's loss, but I give him the benefit of the doubt. A 12:15 game at the Trop on a gorgeous Florida Sunday. Crickets and gators, holmes. Will be empty unless there is an early-bird Cocoon-type special ($4.99 chicken-fried steak with peas, sweet taters and an apricot dessert; gross), so the only home-field edge will be batting last. Sad they play in that mausoleum because it should be a great baseball outdoors day.
  • expert headshot
    Prop Bet Guy
    #3
    +1255
    (76%)
    19-6 in Last 25 NBA Player Props Picks
    player headshot
    M. Strus
    Over 4.5
    +108
    Rebounds
    Picked: May 16 @ 1:05pm

    Analysis

    FanDuel. Forgive me for copying and pasting my write-up from Game 6, but after a team-leading 8 boards in 29-minutes, we’re getting the exact same line on Max Strus’ rebounds for Game 7. He’s now recorded at least 5 rebounds in 16/25 games this season, including 4/6 this series. With the Cavs entrusting him to defend Cade Cunningham (and he has acquitted himself well in that role), he is continuing to see closing time minutes. Needed on the floor offensively for floor spacing, the high-energy veteran should continue to make an impact in Game 7. Look for Strus to clear this plus-money prop in a game where I expect both teams to shoot slightly worse than usual.
  • expert headshot
    Larry Hartstein
    #1
    +2579
    (64%)
    82-47 in Last 129 NBA Player Props Picks
    player headshot
    P. Reed
    Over 12.5
    -114
    PTS + REB
    Picked: May 17 @ 12:12am

    Analysis

    Paul Reed produced 17 points and six rebounds in 16 minutes Friday. Since JB Bickerstaff decided to start playing him, Reed has cleared this prop total four straight times. True, Jalen Duren is coming off his best game of the series. But Duren is unlikely to duplicate that 15-point, 11-rebound effort; even if he is effective, Reed should still see at least 15 minutes. I would not be surprised if Reed played 20 minutes, though, because of the instant boost he has supplied.
  • expert headshot
    Mike Barner
    #2
    +2157
    (59%)
    127-88 in Last 215 NBA Player Props Picks
    player headshot
    P. Reed
    Over 12.5
    -114
    PTS + REB
    Picked: May 17 @ 8:27am

    Analysis

    Paul Reed did not play the first two games of this series. Since then, he has become an important member of the Pistons’ second unit, surpassing Isaiah Stewart on the depth chart. Reed finished with 17 points and six rebounds in Game 6 and has at least 14 combined points and rebounds in each of the last four games. As the Pistons try to advance, Reed should remain in a similar role, making this over appealing.
  • expert headshot
    Mike Barner
    #2
    +2157
    (59%)
    127-88 in Last 215 NBA Player Props Picks
    player headshot
    D. Robinson
    Over 8.5
    -120
    Points
    Picked: May 17 @ 8:39am

    Analysis

    Duncan Robinson is listed as questionable for Game 7. The Pistons don’t have much three-point shooting without him, so I’d be very surprised if he doesn’t play. Even being limited to 20 minutes off the bench in Game 6, he scored 14 points. He has made at least four three-pointers in four of his five games against the Cavaliers and shot 45.0% from behind the arc at home during the regular season. Even if he comes off the bench again, I think he hits this over.

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