The No. 1 seed Oklahoma City Thunder are hosting the No. 5 seed Dallas Mavericks in a primetime battle on Wednesday. This 2024 NBA playoffs series is tied 2-2 with Game 5 taking place in Oklahoma City, Okla. Both teams have been able to pull off a road win this series. The Thunder went 33-8 at home in the regular season, while the Mavs went 25-16 on the road. Maxi Kleber (shoulder) is out, and Luka Doncic (knee/ankle) is questionable for the Mavericks.
Tipoff is scheduled for 9:30 p.m. ET at the Paycom Center. The Thunder are 4.5-point favorites in the latest Mavericks vs. Thunder odds via SportsLine consensus. The over/under for total points is 212.5. Before making any Thunder vs. Mavericks picks, you'll want to see the NBA predictions and betting advice from the proven computer model at SportsLine.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past five-plus seasons. The model entered the conference semifinals in the 2024 NBA playoffs on a sizzling 94-61 roll on all top-rated NBA picks this season, returning more than $2,800. Anyone following the model has seen huge returns.
Now, the model has set its sights on Mavs vs. Thunder and just locked in its 2024 NBA playoff predictions. You can visit SportsLine now to see the model's picks. Here are several NBA betting lines and trends for Thunder vs. Mavs:
- Mavericks vs. Thunder spread: Oklahoma City -4.5
- Mavericks vs. Thunder over/under: 212.5 points
- Mavericks vs. Thunder money line: Oklahoma City -182, Dallas +152
- OKC: The Thunder have hit won 35 of their last 41 games at home
- DAL: The Mavericks have hit the game total Under in 44 of their last 67 games
- Mavericks vs. Thunder picks: See picks at SportsLine
Why the Mavericks can cover
Doncic continues to be an impactful playmaker all across the floor. The 25-year-old shifts through the defense with ease and has the ability to catch fire in a flash. In the 2024 NBA Playoffs, Doncic ranks first on the team in scoring (26.7), rebounds (9.6) and assists (8.8). In Game 2, he finished with 29 points, 10 rebounds and seven assists.
Forward PJ Washington has made a big-time impact this series for the Mavs. Washington has a crisp-looking jumper to stretch the floor and plays with a bunch of energy on the defensive side. The Kentucky product is averaging 15.2 points, 6.7 rebounds and makes 42% of his 3-point attempts. He's scored 20-plus and made at least five 3-pointers in three straight games. See which team to pick here.
Why the Thunder can cover
Center Chet Holmgren is a lengthy and disruptive force in the lane. Holmgren has a knack for altering shots around the rim but can also cook on the offensive end. The Gonzaga product owns a smooth jumper with a nice touch in the lane. He averages 15.3 points with team-highs in rebounds (8.1) and blocks (3) in the postseason. In Game 4, Holmgren had 18 points, nine rebounds, and four blocks.
Guard Luguentz Dort is an energetic and selfless defender on the court. Dort will be a physical and pesky force on the ball while using his body to do the dirty work. He also can hit a jumper if left open, and he averages 10.5 points and 4.6 rebounds in the playoffs. In his last outing, Dort had 17 points and eight boards. See which team to pick here.
How to make Thunder vs. Mavericks picks
SportsLine's model is leaning Over on the total, projecting 219 combined points. The model also says one side of the spread hits nearly 70% of the time. You can only get the model's pick at SportsLine.
So who wins Mavericks vs. Thunder, and which side of the spread hits nearly 70% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the spread to jump on, all from the advanced model that has returned more than $2,800 on its NBA picks this season, and find out.
