The Western Conference Semifinal heads back to Ball Arena as the No. 2 seed Denver Nuggets will host the No. 3 seed Minnesota Timberwolves on Tuesday. Game 5 will be crucial as this 2024 NBA playoffs series is tied 2-2. Minnesota is second in total points per game (110.3) in the postseason, while the Nuggets are allowing 104.6 points per contest. Jamal Murray (calf) is listed as questionable for Denver, while Mike Conley (Achilles) is questionable for Minnesota.
Tipoff for Game 5 is scheduled for 10:30 p.m. ET at Ball Arena in Denver. The Nuggets are 4.5-point favorites in the latest Timberwolves vs. Nuggets odds via SportsLine consensus. The over/under for total points is 206. Before making any Nuggets vs. Timberwolves picks, you'll want to see the NBA predictions and betting advice from the proven computer model at SportsLine.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past five-plus seasons. The model entered the conference semifinals in the 2024 NBA playoffs on a sizzling 94-61 roll on all top-rated NBA picks this season, returning more than $2,800. Anyone following the model has seen huge returns.
Now, the model has set its sights on Nuggets vs. Timberwolves and just locked in its picks and NBA playoff predictions. You can visit SportsLine now to see the model's picks. Here are several NBA betting lines and trends for Timberwolves vs. Nuggets:
- Nuggets vs. Timberwolves vs. Nuggets spread: Denver -4.5
- Nuggets vs. Timberwolves over/under: 206 points
- Nuggets vs. Timberwolves money line: Denver -180, Minnesota +151
- MIN: 15-9 ATS as the underdog this season
- DEN: Hasn't lost three straight home games since 2022
- Nuggets vs. Timberwolves picks: See picks at SportsLine
Why the Timberwolves can cover
Guard Anthony Edwards is an athletic, high-flying playmaker. Edwards glides to the rack with ease but has a reliable jumper on the outside. The 22-year-old plays stifling defense on the other end. Edwards leads the team in scoring (32.1) and steals (1.6) with 6.5 rebounds per game. In his last outing, he totaled 44 points, five assists and went 5 of 8 from 3-point land.
Center Naz Reid comes off the bench and provides some juice. He can score at the basket or on the perimeter due to his jumper. The 24-year-old does a good job of using his length to alter shots in the lane. In the 2024 NBA playoffs, Reid logs 10.8 points, 2.8 rebounds and shoots 39.4% from downtown. He had 11 points and four boards in his last outing. See which team to pick here.
Why the Nuggets can cover
The Nuggets have so many players who can step up and have a big game. Forward Michael Porter Jr. is someone who can play off-ball but has the ability to create his own shot. The Missouri product has a nice jumper and length to shoot right over defenders with ease. In nine games this postseason, Porter Jr. is averaging 18.7 points, 6.7 rebounds, and shooting 46% from beyond the arc. On May 10, he finished with 21 points, four rebounds, and made four 3-pointers.
Forward Aaron Gordon is an athletic, two-way force. Gordon is constantly hovering around the rim with the power and bounce to absorb contact in the lane. He's also a high-effort defender that can guard any defender in the frontcourt. The Arizona product is logging 15.3 points, 7.2 rebounds, and 4.7 assists in the playoffs. In his last outing, Gordon racked up 27 points, seven rebounds, and six assists. See which team to pick here.
How to make Timberwolves vs. Nuggets picks
SportsLine's model is leaning Over on the total, projecting 213 combined points. It also says one side of the spread hits well over 60% of the time. You can only get the model's pick at SportsLine.
So who wins Nuggets vs. Timberwolves, and which side of the spread hits well over 60% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Timberwolves vs. Nuggets spread to jump on, all from the advanced model that has returned more than $2,800 on its NBA picks this season, and find out.
