Rays right-hander Chris Archer has been the subject of trade rumors for what seems like since time immemorial. That's understandable, as he's got ace-like upside and a history of health and durability, and he's signed to a contract that ludicrously team-friendly.
So will this at least be the trading in season in which Archer is shipped out of Tampa? Quite possibly, and the Padres are emerging as the leading contenders ...
Sources: Rays and Padres continue to discuss Chris Archer, and one source says they've made progress. TB has shown a greater willingness than in past to deal him, teams say, but the price remains high, and SD is balking for now. As @jcrasnick said, other teams involved, too.
— Jeff Passan (@JeffPassan) July 28, 2018
Archer, who's still on the right side of age 30, hasn't been a major plus when it comes to run prevention since the 2015 season, when he finished fifth in the AL Cy Young balloting. Again, though, the underlying skills and upside are still there. He's also, as hinted at above, locked up through the 2021 season at bargain rates (assuming both club options are exercised). That level of control is why a team like the Padres, who very much are not contenders in the here and now, are in on Archer. The Pads profile as contenders as early as 2019, and that horizon dovetails nicely with Archer's contract situation.
As noted, though, it's potentially a competitive field when it comes to trading for Archer ...
The #Rays trade talks on Chris Archer are "intensifying'' as the deadline nears, sources say. Still hard to handicap if anyone will ante up with the return Tampa Bay wants. It's a No. 1 starter type of price tag, and he's under team control through 2021. Multiple teams involved.
— Jerry Crasnick (@jcrasnick) July 28, 2018
On the topic of those multiple teams ...
#Yankees, #Dodgers and #Padres among teams trying for #Rays’ Chris Archer, sources tell me and @JimBowdenGM.
— Ken Rosenthal (@Ken_Rosenthal) July 28, 2018
We've seen a number of intra-divisional trades this season, so don't immediately dismiss the possibility of Archer in the Bronx. By the sounds of things, this could be the time that Archer at last gets moved, and the Rays are likely poised to get an impressive return package.
And speaking of the July 31 non-waiver trade deadline, we're here to update you on all the juicy rumors and, you know, actual trades as we approach this key date on the MLB calendar. Here's Friday's rumor roundup if you want to catch up on a packed day of deals, and here's our updated trade tracker.
Now let's dig into more of Saturday's scuttle ...
Moustakas heads to Milwaukee
The Brewers and Royals got together on a trade in the early hours of Saturday morning that sends third baseman Mike Moustakas to Milwaukee. Read more about this trade here.
Barraclough on the move?
Winning teams are always hot and heavy for relievers this time of year, and for a long time it's been anticipated that the Marlins would deal righty Kyle Barraclough before Tuesday's deadline. He's having the best season of his career, he doesn't have notable platoon issues, he boasts a career ERA+ of 141, and the 28-year-old isn't eligible for free agency until after the 2021 season.
For all those reasons, Barraclough is likely coveted, even though by many accounts the Marlins are asking for a hefty return. But maybe they'll get it?
A couple of days ago, I was skeptical Kyle Barraclough could be moved by Tuesday’s deadline. Now, I’m hearing teams may meet the overpay demands by #Marlins Changes the equation
— Joe Frisaro (@JoeFrisaro) July 28, 2018
Given the declining workload of starters and how playoff games tend to become even more bullpen-centric, relievers can indeed fetch a high return these days. In that sense, the Marlins are right to hold out and stick to their demands. Barraclough's been remarkably consistent, and he's far from his walk year. As such, there's no urgency on Miami's part. That means they can be less than pliable in their negotiations, which is a good thing for a franchise that thus far appears to have blown the blockbuster trades for their three star outfielders.
Still a market for Dozier
Veteran Twins second baseman Brian Dozier is in his walk year, and while he hasn't quite been himself in 2018 he's got a long history of putting up big power numbers. Given that Minnesota is selling off at the moment, the expectation is that Dozier will be moved to a contender.
While a flurry of recent trades involving infielders have taken a few potential Dozier suitors off the board, he's still of interest on the market ...
Two more potential landing spots for Brian Dozier, per sources: #SFGiants and #Indians. Both clubs have been scouting #mntwins 2B this week. Panik is on DL (groin) and Kipnis is having another down year (.629 OPS vs RHP). CLE still considering 2B/3B/OF options, I hear.
— Mike Berardino (@MikeBerardino) July 28, 2018
The Red Sox have also been mentioned in connection with Dozier, but Jerry Crasnick tweets that Boston is more focused on the bullpen at the moment. Dozier would certainly be a fit in San Fran or Cleveland.
It's questionable whether the Giants should be all that active, as the SportsLine Projection Model presently gives the fourth-place Giants just a 6.5 percent chance of making the postseason. Given their thin farm system, nothing they can plausibly do leading up to the deadline is going to improve that outlook by a significant margin.
The Indians, though, are playoff locks, and they've already made deals to improve their chances in the powerhouse AL bracket. Dozier, even if he doesn't rediscover his 2016-17 form (he hit 76 homers over that span), should be a nice upgrade over what the Indians have gotten from second base to date.